2010-11 Regular Season Wins Predictions

Based on this post over at the Painted Area, and used with M.Haub's permission.

I wanted to get this in right after the regular season ended and before the playoffs started, but what can I say, I'm busy.

Let's speed right through this. It's always fun to look in hindsight at people's posted predictions.

The Painted Area's October 20th post shows the NBA regular season win predictions, by team, of John Hollinger, Kevin Pelton, and Kelly Dwyer. If you don't know who they are, that is good. The internet is a helluva drug for basketball addicts.

I took their predictions, compared them to the actual results, and how they would have done against the Vegas Odds if they had to choose over or under the Vegas line. The only one off the board were the Lakers, who hit the exact mark of 57 wins.

Check out the results after the Jump

EAST

Line

10-11

JH

KP

KD

(O/U)

JH

KP

KD

MIA

64.5

58

66

60

70

U

0

1

0

ORL

56

52

55

52

60

U

1

1

0

BOS

53.5

56

51

42

50

O

0

0

0

CHI

47

62

48

51

49

O

1

1

1

ATL

46.5

44

46

35

48

U

1

1

0

MIL

46

35

49

42

48

U

0

1

0

CHA

39

34

30

32

38

U

1

1

1

NYK

36

42

37

44

41

O

1

1

1

PHI

35.5

41

43

33

35

O

1

0

0

IND

34.5

37

31

34

28

O

0

0

0

WAS

33

23

30

22

31

U

1

1

1

DET

31.5

30

32

27

19

U

0

1

1

CLE

29.5

19

29

39

12

U

1

0

1

TOR

26.5

22

22

35

31

U

1

0

0

NJN

25.5

24

26

40

27

U

0

0

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9

9

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WEST

Line

10-11

JH

KP

KD

(O/U)

JH

KP

KD

LAL

57

57

56

46

57

X

0

0

0

OKC

52

55

49

48

47

O

0

0

0

POR

51.5

48

55

55

50

U

0

0

1

SAS

50.5

61

54

49

55

O

1

0

1

DAL

50.5

57

48

48

52

O

0

0

1

UTH

49

39

47

41

52

U

1

1

0

HOU

47.5

43

46

36

46

U

1

1

1

DEN

43.5

50

46

49

50

O

1

1

1

PHX

41.5

40

38

37

52

U

1

1

0

NOH

41

46

45

49

44

O

1

1

1

MEM

38.5

46

36

39

40

O

0

1

1

LAC

37

32

27

27

38

U

1

1

0

GSW

32

36

32

49

21

O

0

1

0

SAC

28.5

24

28

43

26

U

1

0

1

MIN

23.5

17

26

30

13

U

0

0

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

8

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

17

17

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

Out of 29

58.6%

58.6%

51.7%

 

So like I said, I'm rushing.  Also, my computer gets really slow when I paste tables like this. So I'll put some analysis in the comments. Feel free to add your own observations, too.

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