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Around SBN: Africa Cup Of Nations Semifinal: Black Stars Ripe For Upset?

Stray Bullets ... because the NBA insists on giving us 5 days to analyze each game

By now, I'm sure you've read all you need to know about the matchup problems and overall size and talent advantages the Lakers have over the Suns. Both Alvin Gentry and Steve Nash feel comfortable in what the Suns are doing offensively. They averaged around 110 ppg during the regular season and are hovering around that line through two games versus the Lakers in the WCFs. It's obvious they have no answers on defense. Or at least none that they know about yet. But there is one thing they can hope for in order to get a win or two at home. They need the Lakers to start missing, and the Suns need to rebound those misses.

In five road playoff games this year, the Lakers have been out rebounded in four of them. Their lone road rebounding advantage came in their first-round Game Five closeout of the Thunder.  Oddly, the Lakers have actually been outrebounded in all three of their road wins. On the flip side, the Suns have outrebounded their opponent in every home playoff game so far. They must hope the Lakers miss shots, meanwhile rebounding those misses, and converting buckets on their end. For a team as potent on offense as the Suns are, it's very possible. Unfortunately, the Suns have to hope for misses, since they haven't shown the ability in six games (regular and postseason) to force Lakers' misses.

Star-divide

  • I predicted a sweep in our Roundtable Predictions and I'm sticking to that. Really, I'm even more encouraged. The Suns need to be perfect, all while hoping the Lakers aren't. It's sure not the Suns defense that will make them miss.
  • Check out NBA.com's Series Page. They have some stats and video put together by Synergy that are well worth the time. The most interesting to me is the way it shows how the teams scoring. The Lakers are absolutely killing the Suns with Kobe isolation and Kobe/Pau pick and roll, and scoring off of cuts.  Pau isn't posting up as much, but is more efficient when he does.  
  • Also, the Lakers have averaged 126 ppg, while actually scoring less in transition then average. In the regular season series vs. PHX, 12.1% of the offense came from transition. In the first two games of the WCFs, that number has shrunk to 8.9%, and they're actually scoring slightly less per play when they do. For those of you who never learned to add and subtract, that means the Lakers are scoring 91.1% of their points in halfcourt. At 1.186 points per possession, compare to 0.976 during the regular season. The Lakers have gone ultra-efficient against the Suns.
  • It's much easier to look so good when your bench is consistently performing well. They deserve some praise. Could it be that Kobe's time off at the end of the regular season gave them the momentum they needed? Of course, they haven't been perfect and Lamar's return to the bench has made a huge difference. Yet, it's nice to know that Kobe and Pau don't have to do it all. The Lakers are rolling as a result.
  • Anyone else amused by Amare Stoudemire? Of course Lamar Odom was lucky. Lucky enough to get Amare as a defender. "STAT" has no clue. It confuses me how a player can be that good running the pick and roll and so clueless defending it. He's playing like a man only concerned about offensive numbers and not getting hurt. He can't get that max contract by getting injured. Best way to not get injured is to not play or try. Not playing and not trying sums up Amare's D.
  • If there's a reason the Suns never have nor will breakthrough, it's because their two superstars are defensive liabilities.  
  • Jason Whitlock slammed Amare and Dwight Howard in an article yesterday.  I agree with Whitlock on some levels, such what seems to be "underdeveloped basketball minds" from "AAU babies." These two are examples of coddled young superstars who may have never had to learn the game properly. It's part of the reason the NBA decided to implement the age limit.  There are other factors involved in the age limit ,but in a system that feeds on young potential and the parasites surrounding them, showcasing skill is more important than learning the tricks of the trade. 

Howard and Stoudemire are full-blooded AAU Babies. They were raised in the era where the penalty for a high school phenom ignoring the teachings of his coach was a spot in the draft lottery and a shoe contract with Nike or Adidas.

I still think Dwight is an overrated defender. He's more a help-side defender than man-up and commits too many silly fouls. How is that the best defender in the league? Defense isn't merely blocking shots into the stands. He has presence, sure, that matters a lot. Not going to take that away. He has impact. Personally, I prefer man-to-man stoppers.

  • But at least D12 plays D. Some team is going to give Amare the money, and that team will never be a championship team. Pay for offense, pray for defense.  
  • I was watching NBA Fastbreak, and Jalen Rose mentioned that the Suns have a better shot than the Magic at tying their respective series, because the Suns go back home while the Magic head to Boston. He did say he only picked the Suns because he had to choose one, and his reasoning was valid, but I think the Magic have the better shot. Boston hasn't been as good at home this year. They had a better road record this season, 26-12 on the road to 24-17 at home. A lot of those home games were blown leads or flat-out crapfests. They've only lost one home game so far, but that was a 32-point drubbing versus the Cavaliers. I do expect Boston to win this series, but I wouldn't be surprised if Orlando won Game Three and maybe Game Four as well.
  • I'm sure you know that the Lakers went 34-7 at home this season and 23-18 on the road. They've seemed to have put their road woes behind them (and any other woes), while still being a great home team. They're 7-0 at home this post season.
  • The reason I told you this? Because I, like the rest of the NBA-watching world not in Phoenix or Orlando expect our Lakers to get their revenge against the Celtics, and guess who will have homecourt advantage? Our Mighty Lake Show. How perfect is that?
  • Let me put on my conspiracy theorist hat and say... no wonder the Lakers didn't care about homecourt advantage. They knew they had it wrapped up.
  • I'll stop there in the looking ahead. I have a lot to say. I know you do, and we'll all have a lot to read. But we have to get these next two first.
  • That's all I have for today. You can follow me on Twitter: @wondahbap

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good stuff

excellent points about Kobe’s career path.

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on May 21, 2010 3:28 PM PDT reply actions  

agreed.

…I remember when we drafted Kobe, West said he was “fundamentally ahead of most collegiate players in the draft.” Maybe having an NBA player and professional coach for a Pops helped, but its like the ’Bop said: smarts is smarts.

by Whipp on May 21, 2010 5:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

Why i hate jason whitlock ...

despite being a vindictive, whiny jerk .. guess what numnuts … Kobe and Garnett are AAU babies as well. And how is it, exactly, Dwight Howard’s fault that Vince Carter can’t make a free throw and Courtney Lee couldn’t make a layup in the Finals last year? Sigh.

Criticize their play. Not their character. You’re not a mental health evaluator. Stick to sports dude.

"They need security in the world, Craig!"

by Tuna Helper on May 21, 2010 4:01 PM PDT reply actions  

I absolutely agree with you that it's not Dwight's fault Vince missed those two crucial FTs,

but it is definitely his fault that HE missed 5 of his own during the course of the game. They lost that game by 4 points.

Not sure what your point is here.

"Prejudice not founded on reason cannot be removed by argument." - Samuel Johnson

by SoCalGal on May 21, 2010 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've never been a fan of Vince Carter

…he seems like one of those guys who racks stats and highlights but always disappears when it matters.

by Whipp on May 21, 2010 5:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

he has been in his career

but aside from those missed FTs , he’s been keeping the Magic in those games so far

by madmaxx350 on May 21, 2010 5:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

yeah, true that

..because Rashard Lewis has given them next to nothing…

by Whipp on May 21, 2010 5:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but he kinda pulled a Pierce with the injured wrist when he slipped.

I thought he was gonna come back on the floor with a cast on his arm.

"Prejudice not founded on reason cannot be removed by argument." - Samuel Johnson

by SoCalGal on May 21, 2010 6:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

If I ask you for Vince Carters signature play of his career, what would you say?

Dunking over Weis in the Olympics?

Winning the Dunk contest (its over, its over)?

That’s all I can think of. When your two signature plays of your career are a dunk in a meaningless Olympic thrashing, and a dunk contest, you are overrated.

VC = MOOAT (most overrated of all time)

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on May 21, 2010 8:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

I assume you're directing this comment to Tuna Helper.

"Prejudice not founded on reason cannot be removed by argument." - Samuel Johnson

by SoCalGal on May 21, 2010 9:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

well technically it was a reply to Whipp...

but it wasn’t really directed at anyone, just an aside.

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on May 21, 2010 11:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

I hear and agree

I’ll go with the leap over Weis.

by Whipp on May 22, 2010 12:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

+1

www.reverbnation.com/czheckproductions
www.mybeatshop.com/czheckproductions
Great men are never without flaws, but neither are they without magnificent traits that caused them to rise to such heights.

by Czheck on May 22, 2010 1:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

amen

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on May 22, 2010 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

d howard is not a good free throw shooter. vince carter is supposed to be the go-to guy on that team ...

if you’re expecting d howard to be the defensive anchor on that team, best rebounder AND top free throw shooter, I’d say … good luck with that. He doesn’t shoot free throws well. This is not a new development.

Vince Carter on the other hand, had a chance to cut the lead to one in a crucial time and he didn’t. I’d say those misses were more important than Howard’s. He is a good ft shooter and supposedly the closer on that team. He was brought to that team for moments like that. He failed. That is not Howard’s fault IMO.

Not to mention, this has nothing to do with Whitlock’s thesis. That somehow he’s peered into Howard’s soul and knows he’s never been made accountable. This is guesswork at best. Again, you’re not a psychologist. Stick to basketball.

"They need security in the world, Craig!"

by Tuna Helper on May 23, 2010 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Check this out

Bosh has top 5 list of teams he would like to sign with. Guess who’s on the list?
http://myespn.go.com/s/conversations/show/story/5208043

If you have a debate with a scholar, you can win. If you have a debate with an ignorant person, you will definitely lose.

by akb24b on May 21, 2010 4:11 PM PDT reply actions  

Really 4

He doesn’t want to stay in Toronto. He just wants to sign and trade.

http://twitter.com/wondahbap

by wondahbap on May 21, 2010 4:16 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

not really

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports

You can't pick that ball up and run with it
-Phil Jackson

by Madz on May 21, 2010 5:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

thanks for crushing my fleating hopes...

lol j/k

If you have a debate with a scholar, you can win. If you have a debate with an ignorant person, you will definitely lose.

by akb24b on May 21, 2010 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

well that kills everything

but then again he is an agent. Maybe he is more of a Bob Sugar instead of Jerry Maguire type…you never know.

"If you want to find the dumbest guy in the room just find the first guy to tell you how smart he is." - JG

"The fact that the Lakers have played to such a high level even through the injuries is a testament to their skill, abilities, and resiliency." - 99bc99

by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on May 21, 2010 6:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

And refuted by Colangelo

http://www.thestar.com/iphone/sports/basketball/nba/raptors/article/812969—bosh-s-wish-list-bulls-lakers-heat-or-knicks

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on May 22, 2010 7:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

what the????

WHERES THE PACERS?

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on May 21, 2010 10:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Howard had eight rebounds and zero blocks in Game 2. ESPN’s Mark Jackson, the best NBA color analyst, labeled Howard’s 30 points "fool’s gold."

Whitlock just dropped quite a few notches on my respect meter.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on May 21, 2010 4:21 PM PDT reply actions  

Where am I on that meter?

"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson

by Gil Meriken on May 21, 2010 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Dude....

Horatio is the pinnacle of any decent respect meter.

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on May 21, 2010 8:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Really? "H"?

Do Americans really like Horatio Caine?

The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic living in Japan...

by With Malice on May 21, 2010 8:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

He's the man....

In a Chuck Norris kind of way.

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on May 21, 2010 11:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah...



Ok, not seeing it.

The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic living in Japan...

by With Malice on May 22, 2010 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

ugh

you need to watch Delta Force

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on May 22, 2010 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

Exactly......

Chuck at his best.

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on May 22, 2010 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

I cannot decide who I hate more

Mark Jackson or Reggie Miller

Can we bring back Bill Walton and have him and Hubie Brown call every playoff game ever?

by remingtonmartin on May 21, 2010 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Mark Jackson isnt the best but I'd rather have him JVG, and Hubie Brown

with Craig Sager running the sideline anyday

You can tell the true greatness of a team by how they respond to adversity........

by EmmCeee on May 21, 2010 8:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I can almost tolerate JVG

except when he’s calling his brother’s games (which seems to always happen), or he starts going off on non-game related “snappy banter” with Jackson (which also, seems to always happen). So i guess i can’t tolerate him that much. Just call the damn game. Hubie Brown rules.

by Whipp on May 22, 2010 12:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

sorry, I dig hubie

maybe it’s just an old school thing. But other than the mind-boggling suits, Sagar is kinda meh… I actually like Cheryl Miller on the sideline. She seems to get honest reactions from players. Maybe it’s respect for going all triple-digits Wilt, even if it was high school. Bu8t that said, her brother is max annoying….

by Whipp on May 22, 2010 12:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Totally agree with you about Dwight wondahbap

I thought Gortat was a better post defender last year in the Finals than Dwight was. Though Dwight definitely makes guards think twice about driving the ball in.

by nilwnah on May 21, 2010 5:08 PM PDT reply actions  

Ive always said

Howard really isnt that much of a defender unless you only think weak side blocking is the best defense you can play. Call me a jackass but he’s not really that physical either, I mean Pau had no problems against him and he gets pushed around by those Celtic bigs almost as bad as Pau does.

Faith.... a fan's biggest downfall

by desecrator09 on May 21, 2010 5:11 PM PDT reply actions  

Nice piece...
He can’t get that max contract by getting injured. Best way to not get injured is to not play or try. Not playing or not trying sums up Amare’s D.

And if he continues to get absolutely schooled on D, it might just impact how many “max contracts” are available to STAT.

…but I think the Magic have the better shot. Boston hasn;t been as good at home this year.

Me too. Boston have blown more double digit leads this year than any other team in the league, and have not been the “at-home-powerhouse” we’ve grown to hate know despise. I mean: 24-17 at home? They were actually better on the road.

The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic living in Japan...

by With Malice on May 21, 2010 7:06 PM PDT reply actions  

how does that play into a potential game 7 at Staples?

…odd…the C’s really are better on the road, and here we are, feeling all giddy about walking into a potential HCA in the Finals…aahh, the intrigue…

by Whipp on May 22, 2010 12:53 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well... they were only marginally better on the road.

26-15.
Let’s face it: they didn’t have a great regular season.

Just amped up of late…

The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic living in Japan...

by With Malice on May 22, 2010 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well... not really.

LA had a pretty good season.
I can think of at least 14 other teams in the West that would be pretty happy to be having the season LA are having…

The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic living in Japan...

by With Malice on May 22, 2010 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

but we pretty much sucked

after the All-Star break. It’s like a new team right now.

by Whipp on May 23, 2010 1:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

Apparently Phoenix plans to go back to their regular defensive plan
“I think we’re going back to what we’ve been doing all season long," Stoudemire said. "We made a few adjustments in Game 1 and Game 2, that didn’t quite work out well for us so we’ve got to go back to what we know”

For some reason, I don’t feel worried. But maybe its time for the Lakers to start locking it down also just to be safe.

You can't pick that ball up and run with it
-Phil Jackson

by Madz on May 21, 2010 10:00 PM PDT reply actions  

yup, phoenix wants to go back to doing what it did when so well vs san antonio and portland. I don’t know if clean the slate of all adjustments made for the Lakers specifically is so smart…..

but than again….

Nothing the Suns have been doing has worked.

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on May 22, 2010 1:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

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