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Behind Bynum and Gasol, the Lakers Hit the Big Five-Oh

There were some rough patches along the way, but in the end the Lakers' road swing through Northern California turned out just fine. Tonight they completed the back-to-back sweep of the Warriors and Kings with a fairly routine 106 to 99 win in Sacramento. The Kings, naturally, aren't anything like the caliber of opponent the Lakers will see in the playoffs, but the performance, especially in the second half, offered a blueprint for how they'll have to win games in May and June: lots of Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol, a judiciously aggressive Kobe Bryant and the occasional timely shot from the bench.

Star-divide

Let's start with Drew and Pau, who dominated tonight. Bynum was the spearhead early. He scored 11 points in the first quarter and 17 in the first half, looking alert and energetic all night long. He's playing stellar ball right now. Drew and Pau both finished with double-doubles, Gasol having destroyed the Kings' big men in the second half with his jump hook and other point-blank shots. He seems to have recovered the shooting touch that deserted him for a few weeks. When these two guys are both performing at a high level - and believe me, I realize how rarely that happens - the Lakers are nearly impossible to beat.

Kobe had kind of an odd game. He took about 30% of the team's shots (taking into account trips to the free-throw line in addition to field-goal attempts), which is more than one would prefer, and he didn't shoot especially well, making only 8 of his 21 twos and 8 of 14 free throws. But he attacked the paint relentlessly, which resulted in both dishes to teammates (7 assists) and offensive rebounds off his misses. His six defensive rebounds helped limit the NBA's fourth-best offensive rebounding team to a low 23% OR rate on the night.

For basically the entire first half, the Lakers' offense came from those three sources: Drew, Pau and Kobe. Everyone else was shooting atrociously, to the point that at the beginning of the third quarter, the Kings were heavily packing the lane on defense. There were a few possessions where there wasn't even a nominal attempt to guard Derek Fisher. Not until a few threes started dropping in the third did the offense regain its spacing and rhythm, and when it did, Sacramento had no hope. After scoring 1.09 points per possession in the first half, the Lakers scored 1.27 PPP in the second.

Nice bench contributions came from Lamar Odom, who unassumingly played a strong overall game, and Sasha Vujacic. Sasha appears on the verge of scooping up a lot of Jordan Farmar's rotation minutes. Both Jordan and Shannon Brown look pretty lost at the moment. Neither is shooting well or playing with much intelligence.

Now at 50-18 (four games up on Denver, three on Orlando), the Lakers return home for Win #51 courtesy of the downtrodden Timberwolves on Friday. Before pivoting to that matchup, let's tip our lids to Tyreke Evans. I know I went on at length about this kid in the game thread, but seriously, he's ridiculous. Even with either Ron Artest or Kobe guarding him for much of the game, he got to the rim for a shot attempt or foul 16 times. Aside from LeBron James, I don't think any perimeter player in the league is capable of doing that. As Kobe said after the game when asked about Tyreke, "that's a grown-ass man."

 

Poss.

TO%

FTA/
FGA

FT%

3FGA/FGA

2PT%

3PT%

EFG

TS%

OReb Rate

DReb Rate

PPP

Lakers

92

11

0.32

64

0.16

52

29

51

53

30

77

1.15

Kings

91

10

0.33

71

0.26

47

32

47

51

23

70

1.09

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Comments

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the second unit desperately needs his spacing. I mean desperately. Desperado desperately. His quick catch and shoot is something this team has missed badly. If only he could play a little bit cleaner on defense.

Shannon threw a re-post pass tonight. 10 puppies were simultaneously born outside the arena.

Farmar has to be one of the biggest up/down players I’ve ever seen in the NBA. He has no consistency whatsoever. Injury notwithstanding.

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Mar 16, 2010 11:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Good point!

I’m not giving myself enough credit for this winning streak.

Twitter feed: @dexterfishmore

by DexterFishmore on Mar 16, 2010 11:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

it could be 6-0 very soon

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Mar 16, 2010 11:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ammo

0-2 from the field, +/- @ -10

that’s quite some damage considering he only played 2:33.

I can't tell if Phil Jackson is playing 3D chess and is 10 moves ahead of us or if he's just goddamn senile...

by Mike1204 on Mar 16, 2010 11:09 PM PDT reply actions  

start of 2nd quarter

he came in and we had a 12 point lead…. 2;33 later… its a 2 point game

by matthewmafa on Mar 16, 2010 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

That it was the Farmar/Brown show didn't help

But he did leave Casspi wide open (and I mean wide open) on multiple possessions for some key treys, so he wasn’t exactly helping the situation.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Mar 16, 2010 11:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah Farmer and Shannon pushed the tempo

Waaaay too fast. It wasn’t Ammo’s doing, it was the whole unit.

by 99bc99 on Mar 16, 2010 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Not to mention

He took two horrible shots, one resulting in an easy block that was basically a turnover and the other clanging.

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Mar 17, 2010 1:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

What a year

We clamored for Brown to take more minutes at the start of the year, then Farmar after Brown took a dive, and now Vujacic because both Farmar and Brown are struggling.

Will we come full circle?

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Mar 16, 2010 11:24 PM PDT reply actions  

Backup Guard Roulette

The Lakers need one of these guys to separate themselves, so Phil isn’t constantly moving them in and out, searching for the hot hand.

Twitter feed: @dexterfishmore

by DexterFishmore on Mar 16, 2010 11:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

we thought it was brown

then farmar stepped up and we thought it was him…

come on one of you…………..!

its your chance ! take ADVANTAGE

by matthewmafa on Mar 17, 2010 1:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

Wow, the stat guys are getting really ambitious

Before we close the book on this year’s MIT stats-fest, a few of the more interesting ideas …

1. Box scores are antiquated. We’ve been turning to the same statistical snapshots, tracking the same points, rebounds, assists, shooting and minutes for who knows how long. But these numbers are insufficient, given that drawing a charge or deflecting a pass can mean just as much in the outcome. “Box scores are an incomplete story,” Blazers GM Kevin Pritchard said. “They can say someone shot 8-for-13 and 5-for-5 from the free-throw line, but they can’t tell you he didn’t make winning basketball plays.” That would take a box score that doesn’t fit the tight space of a newspaper’s stats page. And an effort to track those extra numbers is something teams must do on their own right now, Cuban said.

2. The next step in the statistical revolution will be player-by-player video analysis. The stats now tracked may be incomplete, but they paint a much better picture on offense than on defense. How many missed shots a player forces or deflections one creates is not something seen in the numbers, or even regularly caught on a broadcast. Companies such as Synergy Sports that track video for individual players hold the key to a treasure trove of data, said a panel of team stat analysts. And once the technology is refined, much of those jewels are expected to open a wide lens on the effectiveness of individual defenders.

3. Next form of analysis: cognitive testing. The biggest challenge teams often face is determining how their own players run the plays. Can they remember the play call? How crisply can they run what’s called in a close game and the pressure is high? In short, which players are mentally strong? “Real-time assessment is the next wave,” Cuban said in another panel about the limits of advanced statistical analysis. That isn’t easy, though, when dealing with young men who normally would still be in college. Added Rockets GM Daryl Morey: “The struggle to use a lot of psychologists’ findings … is that a 20-year-old doesn’t know who they are sometimes.”

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/paul_forrester/03/10/darko.notes/1.html

Item three is fascinating.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Mar 16, 2010 11:34 PM PDT reply actions  

I can't wait for this stuff

Right now we’re all just scratching on cave walls.

Twitter feed: @dexterfishmore

by DexterFishmore on Mar 16, 2010 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I can roll with this a lot more easily

Than I can with “Wins Produced” or “PER”.

"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson

by Gil Meriken on Mar 16, 2010 11:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

imagine how much harder some players will play defense

if they know that if they force a missed shot its gonna be counted and ultimately contribute to a contract

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Mar 17, 2010 1:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

the next 2 teams we play

refuse to win games

YOU CAN PUT IT ON THE BOARD YES!
www.reverbnation.com/czheckproductions

by Czheck on Mar 17, 2010 3:14 AM PDT reply actions  

I had to watch the Kings broadcast because of League Pass

They praised Tyreke Evans too much.

They praised him for throwing up a heave at the end of the third quarter, saying he doesn’t care about stats and only wants to win: honestly, they talked about it like it was another sign of his greatness.

I want to see these guys earn their credit before it is heaped on them en masse. He played well, but he’s getting a little bit of hype at this point. I’m not a hater, though, good job Tyreke. Notwithstanding the fact that the Lakers did a great job of guarding him and got him to miss several very important baskets during the game.

I loved Sasha in at Point. I almost wept when I witnessed a steady flow of maturity coming from him on defense. He didn’t needlessly swipe at balls, and the calls the refs made on him were Actually questionable. The Machine!

?

by Jevon O on Mar 17, 2010 7:25 AM PDT reply actions  

Sasha Maturing?

I noticed that as well about Sasha last night. There were a couple of times I thought he would make a stupid foul, and he actually restrained himself. I re-rolled the tape twice just to make sure. This is especially important as he’s often on the court early in the fourth for the second unit and a few cheap early fouls means the other guys are shooting free throws early. He can be just as effective without the fouls.

by celticandlakerfanreally on Mar 17, 2010 7:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

when phil played him throughout the fourth, it made me giddily happy

I was so happy to see him make decent decisions, and play decent defense. he is quick, quick enough to go through screens, and cut the baseline off. his defense is better than shannon, jordan, and maybe sometimes fish at this point. but it is not yet consistent; i still believe in sasha. my goodness, if we had him for a large portion of the game playing decent and then fish at the end… OH THE OPPORTUNITIES!!

by Jevon O on Mar 17, 2010 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Stats

New Era Stats should count turnovers as a shot attempt. We already combine stats for effective FG %.

by celticandlakerfanreally on Mar 17, 2010 7:25 AM PDT reply actions  

...no

A turnover isn’t a shot attempt, no matter how you look at it. To include it in any metric measuring shooting would simply be wrong.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Mar 17, 2010 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

There are measures, like Dean Oliver's offensive rating

that include turnovers in an overall measure of a player’s offensive efficiency. PER also takes them into account.

The problem with just treating a turnover as a missed shot is twofold. First, as Ben points out, it distorts what you’re trying to measure, which is shooting efficacy. Second, a turnover is actually worse than a missed shot. A turnover ends a possession, whereas a missed shot can be rebounded by the shooter’s team.

Twitter feed: @dexterfishmore

by DexterFishmore on Mar 17, 2010 7:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Can I ask why

you believe that would create a better statistic?

by Marty Mart on Mar 17, 2010 7:42 AM PDT reply actions  

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