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Reach Out and Touch Faith: Kobe Returns Tonight

By the time the Lakers tip off in Memphis tonight, it'll have been nearly five full earth rotations since they last played. That's like a second All-Star break. At least it's given Kobe Bryant's hurtful left ankle time to heal. According to anyone saying anything on the subject, it really seems like he's going to play tonight. I know we had a false positive on his readiness last week, and it's not I waterboarded any of these sources to see if they were telling the truth, but I suspect that if Kobe does not, against all expectations, take the court against the Grizzlies in a few hours, there'll be some dismembered Laker trainers lying around.

The loss to the Boston Celtics last Thursday probably smoothes Kobe's return a little bit. There's going to be a lot of discussion about how he reintegrates with the other regulars, but the analysis would trend even more nitpicky if the Lakers had been 5-0 in his absence. Even accounting for the Celtic loss, the team's play in those five games was excellent. Especially on defense, they hit new high notes for the season, and though some regression is likely, you'd like to see that asskicking more or less continue.

Star-divide

The tricky back-to-back that starts tonight will tell us if that's the case. First up is Memphis, the city where the "Kobe shoots too much" narrative boiled over and got a little ugly last month. Next up tomorrow are the - all together now - "new look Mavericks," with their freshly acquired center (Brendan Haywood) and shooting guard (Caron Butler). The Mavs are 1-2 against the Lakers this season, having dropped two meetings between the teams in January, including one in Dallas, after winning at Staples all the way back in October.

The NBA regular season is getting late fast. The Lakers have only 26 games left. Over two thirds of their schedule is behind them. The playoffs start in less than eight weeks. Rather unexpectedly, in light of how the standings looked a few weeks ago, the Lakers have home-court advantage throughout the playoffs within their reach. With Cleveland on a three-game losing bender, the Lake Show is only a half-game (plus a tiebreaker) behind. These contests before us actually matter.

Catching Up With the Grizzlies (Not Recommended With Actual Grizzlies)

The Grizz have seen better days. Like February 1, when they beat the Lakers 95 to 93. Since then, they've lost six of eight, including four straight at home. For all the (basically justified) hype given their turnaround this year, their overall resumé is pretty blah. They're 28-26, sitting on the 11th seed in the West and have a subpar net point differential. It seems they'll be in the race for the eighth seed until the end, but they've been surpassed by Oklahoma City as the up-and-coming team all the cool kids are talking about.

The problem - more exactly, one way of looking at their cluster of problems - is that there's very little they do exceptionally well. As a team they're OK at a lot of things, really bad at a few, and great at almost nothing. They can be amazing in spurts, especially on offense, but they don't hit that gear as often as the NBA's upper crust do.

Shareef-abdur-rahim-slam-39_medium

Memphis didn't do any major renovations at the trade deadline. They made one nice pickup in Ronnie Brewer, whom they took off Utah's hands in a naked salary transfer. He was brought in to shore up one of the league's worst benches, but he won't play tonight. He's out with a torn right hamstring.

So it's the usual to-do list for the Lakers when facing these kids: get a hand in Zach Randolph's face, keep Marc Gasol off the offensive glass, and take advantage of their generally crap defense with smart ball movement and prudent looks. When they lost in Memphis, the Lakers were sucking fumes at the end of an eight-game road trip and had played in Boston the day before. Today they're rested and, by the standards of this season at least, pretty healthy. It's a game we should reasonably expect them to win.

Catching Up With the Mavericks (Or Are the Mavs Catching Up With Us?)

Dallas has done some interesting things lately. Before the deadline they shipped out Josh Howard and Drew Gooden for Butler and Haywood. The move was bold and mostly praised. Butler's the more famous name, but I maintained from the beginning that Haywood's the more important piece. He helps close the height gap with the Lakers, and let's face it, that's who Mark Cuban is aiming for, however fantastically. He's leveraging up to get a title before Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Kidd hit the steep downward glide path of old age.

The results so far have been strong. In their first game after the trade they flopped in OKC, but they've won four in a row since, including a road upset in Orlando. Butler has been productive and Haywood monstrous. He's averaging 11 rebounds a game as a Mav. There's also been a rumor over the past 36 hours or so that Dallas is on the verge of adding Von Wafer, whose given first name is actually Vakeaton.

00112

Legs shouldn't be an issue for the Lakers in this one, the back-to-back notwithstanding. It'll be only their second game in six days. The key will be locking up the Dallas shooters amid their screens and pops, and on offense trying to get Haywood in foul trouble. Erick Dampier is out with a dislocated ring finger. As a result, the Mavs bring almost no decent size off the bench. If they can get Haywood in foul trouble, the Lakers will find some favorable matchups on the front line.

It'd be nice if these two games catalyzed a sustained run of strong play by the Lakemen. This season has had a real stop-and-go feel to it, thanks to injuries and the occasional demoralizing loss. Rather than just run out the clock until mid-April while ceding home court to the Cavs, I want the Lakers to start hitting their stride. It's time for a show of force to the rest of the league.

Lakers

Grizzlies

Mavericks

RECORD

42-14

28-27

36-21

NET POINTS PER GAME

+6.7 (1)

-1.1 (19)

+1.9 (12)

PACE

93.6 (9)

93.0 (13)

92.1 (20)

OFFENSIVE RATING

109.0 (9)

108.4 (11)

108.3 (12)

Turnover Rate (Off.)

12.1% (2)

13.7% (17)

12.3% (4)

FTA/FGA (Off.)

0.28 (26)

0.31 (10)

0.28 (22)

Free-Throw %

77.0 (12)

73.8 (23)

81.6 (1)

3PT FGA/FGA (Off.)

0.22 (11)

0.15 (29)

0.22 (16)

3PT% (Off.)

34.5 (19)

33.7 (24)

36.0 (10)

Effective FG% (Off.)

49.7 (15)

49.4 (16)

49.8 (14)

True Shooting% (Off.)

53.9 (15)

53.5 (18)

54.6 (11)

Off Rebounding Rate

27.1% (13)

31.7% (1)

24.9% (22)

DEFENSIVE RATING

101.9 (2)

109.6 (23)

106.4 (13)

Turnover Rate (Def.)

13.4% (17)

13.2% (20)

13.5% (16)

FTA/FGA (Def.)

0.26 (1)

0.27 (5)

0.27 (4)

3PT FGA/FGA (Def.)

0.23 (21)

0.22 (16)

0.22 (11)

3PT% (Def.)

31.7 (1)

35.2 (18)

35.8 (22)

Effective FG% (Def.)

47.6 (2)

51.7 (29)

49.6 (14)

True Shooting% (Def.)

51.4 (1)

55.3 (25)

53.5 (11)

Def Rebounding Rate

74.9% (5)

72.3% (26)

73.9% (13)

Numbers in parentheses indicate league rank. All numbers courtesy of Basketball Reference and HoopData.

Follow Dex on Twitter here.

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Comments

Display:

Black Mamba’s hungry

by LADubbz45 on Feb 23, 2010 1:12 PM PST reply actions  

great post

I like the picture of kobe’s silhouette in the smoke..tight!

As much as I want to be excited about Kobe returning the only thing really on my mind is if to keep an eye on who gets waived/bought out. I’m still bumbed about them not trading Ammo.

"If you want to find the dumbest guy in the room just find the first guy to tell you how smart he is." - JG

by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Feb 23, 2010 2:28 PM PST reply actions  

which reminds me Matt Harpring got waived today. If he is healthy why not sign him.

I wonder how bad his health is or if he has health issues or if he is just old.

"If you want to find the dumbest guy in the room just find the first guy to tell you how smart he is." - JG

by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Feb 23, 2010 2:31 PM PST up reply actions  

What's with the Rumor of Kobe going to the Bulls?

on ESPN’s rumor central , they are saying Phil and Kobe might change city in ‘10 for the free agency class … anybody here an ESPN insider to check the full story , cause i call BS on those . Here’s the link

http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/features/rumors?addata=2009_insdr_mod_nba_xxx_xxx&action=login&appRedirect=http%3a%2f%2finsider.espn.go.com%2fnba%2ffeatures%2frumors%3faddata%3d2009_insdr_mod_nba_xxx_xxx#TOP

by madmaxx350 on Feb 23, 2010 2:37 PM PST reply actions  

If Kobe leaves to become a Bull...

Wade or Bron is gonna be Making their Way to L.A,…I’d rather Kobe tough it out till Durant Hits the Market and snatch him lol

Kobe isnt good, he's just better than your favorite player

by EmmCeee on Feb 23, 2010 2:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't believe that garbage...

…they also said Kobe was going to leave LA and play in Europe after the 08-09 playoffs after USA won in the Olympics…

Kobe: "If you’re afraid to fail, then you’re probably going to fail," he says, laughing. "You know what I mean? Fuck it."

by Hensi24 on Feb 23, 2010 2:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Bryant on 1050 ESPN Radio in New York
“I would like to be traded, yeah. Tough as it is to come to that conclusion there’s no other alternative, you know?”

Bryant, interviewed by Stephen A. Smith, was asked if there was anything the Lakers could do to change his mind.

“No,” Bryant said. “I just want them to do the right thing.”

“[The Lakers] obviously want to move in a different direction in terms of rebuilding,” Bryant said, adding he could have opted to sign with the Los Angeles Clippers or Chicago Bulls instead. “Three years ago when I was re-signing they should have told me they wanted to rebuild.”

Asked if he had any preference for a trade destination, he said “At this point I’ll go play on Pluto.”

May 31, 2007

"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson

by Gil Meriken on Feb 23, 2010 3:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Whats tht about

I think everybody in LA knows about this interview already. I dont even understand why you are pointing that out. His team consisted of Smush, Kwame, Walton as the #3 best guy, a baby Bynum, and a daily pot smoking Lamar Odom as the #2 guy.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klVs1fVHGPQ.

by heinzketchup on Feb 23, 2010 3:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I though this thread was about the rumor about Kobe going to the Bulls

"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson

by Gil Meriken on Feb 23, 2010 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

It still is

I guess my point gets hidden. I was saying he had no team around him to win a championship back then, which is not the case now. And quoting an interview from 3 years ago really does no good when there is more recent quote of his saying…

Kobe went with his "I can’t even read" defense when talking about his contract and whether or not he would opt out. "I’ve been deflecting that all year, I ain’t gonna stop now. I’m not going anywhere, you know I’m not going anywhere. It’s a waste of our breath."

by heinzketchup on Feb 23, 2010 8:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Today should be a good warmup for kobe and the team,

Not over looking the grizz but we should spank them tonite. I suspect kobe is gonna stay low pro to keep the offensive flow unless we start losing (which we won’t).

Glad kobe is back in the line up, He is going to retire a laker.

" I'm a human, not a sandwich"

by true_lakerfan on Feb 23, 2010 2:58 PM PST reply actions  

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