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How will the Lakers finish their marathon?

On January 21st, the Los Angeles Lakers began the most condensed part of their schedule, 13 games in 21 days.  An NBA team normally averages just over 1 day off in between games.  Over the past three weeks, the Lakers have averaged just over .6 days off between games.  It has been an arduous journey, one that has left the Lakers beaten, wounded, and fatigued.  But they are not broken.  In fact, the Lakers have played their best basketball of the entire stretch right at the end, with two comfortable victories at Portland and home vs. San Antonio.  Whether it is because of Kobe Bryant's (or Andrew Bynum's) absence or in spite of it is a question you're better off not asking at the moment.  Only one game remains before the Lakers get more than their fair share of glorious, wonderful rest (see here for further explanation of quirky scheduling).  Unfortunately, that game is a real doozy.  The Lakers finish their marathon tonight in Utah.  So much for a comfortable last lap around a cheering stadium, the Lakers are going to have fight to the bitter end.

Star-divide

The Lakers played the Jazz twice in quick succession in early December.  The first was the "4 point 4th quarter" game in which the Lakers completely stifled the Jazz at the end of the game.  The next was a much more non-descript 8 point loss that surprised aproximately no one.  Neither of those games are relevant tonight, because we are dealing with two completely different teams than the ones which took the floor two months ago.  That Lakers team was in the midst of a 16-1 stretch (the loss in Utah ended the team's 11 game win streak) and was the toast of the NBA.  Kobe broke his finger in a game in between these two meetings, and the rest of the team was perfectly healthy, except for Luke Walton.  Meanwhile, the Jazz were struggling in mediocrity and being discussed as a team that might not make the playoffs in the strong Western Conference.  Now, the Lakers are a relaltively modest 8-4 in their last 12 games, no longer atop the NBA heap thanks to the Cleveland Cavs winning their last 326 games in a row.  And the Jazz, well, to say they've turned their season around is just a bit of an understatement.

The Jazz are 13-1 in their last 14 games, including impressive and relatively impressive wins v. Cleveland, Denver, Dallas, @Dallas, @San Antonio, @ Portland.  Their only loss was in Denver over that time.  The Jazz have done it the same way that they always have, with physical play and strong contributions across the board.  They've been led by their All-Star Deron Williams, one of the toughest covers in the NBA, and borderline snub candidate Carlos Boozer.  That Boozer has played very well comes as a bit of a surprise, only because he's been invovled in trade discussions all season long.  The Jazz paid Paul Milsap $8 mil/year, and they didn't do it to bring him off the bench, so Boozer is likely headed out of town sooner rather than later.  But, his play this season may convince Utah to simply hold on to him until the end of the year and let his contract expire, or possibly try and work out a sign and trade in the off-season, after a hopefully successful playoff run.

In terms of tonight's Xs and Os, a lot of importance will come from how the game is officiated.  The Jazz, more than any other team in the league, put the onus on refs to call fouls with their physical play on both sides of the ball.  They attack the rim on offense, and they use any and all borderline legal tactics on defense.  It's no coincidence that the Jazz are among the highest in the league in both FT attempted per FG and free throws given up per opposing FG.  If they are allowed to play their physical brand of defense without too much consequence, and get lots of calls for aggresively attacking the rim, they are difficult to beat.  That tends to be exactly the situation which occurs at home, because Utah is one of the most racous places to play in the entire league.

Ironically, despite the fact that physical play is Utah's MO, the lack of Andrew Bynum might be a good thing for tonight's game.  The Jazz starting center is one sweet shooting mofo, Mehmet Okur, and with both Bynum and Pau in the lineup, Okur would be more likely to get the open 3's he craves.  Instead, look for Lamar Odom to shadow Memo, as he has no problem operating defensively on the perimeter.  The defensive rotations need to be very solid, as the Jazz love them some back door screens and cuts.  On offense, the Lakers will need every bit of the balance which we've seen the past two games.  Pau needs to be real careful about floating up those hooks he couldn't get to fall against SA.  He normally makes those shots, and they ARE good shots to take, but I could easily see 2 or more of those shots being sent into the 2nd row via help from Andrei Kirilenko, one of the best weak side shot blockers in the NBA.

The most up to date injury report I've seen has Bynum highly doubtful, Kobe as a maybe (increased from doubtful), and Lamar as probable.  No matter what the roster looks like, it's not difficult to see the Lakers losing this one.  Utah is one tough place to go and get a victory, and the Jazz are coming in hot.  On the other hand, they ended our streak so perhaps we can end theirs as well.  Also, Utah will be on the 2nd night of a back to back coming in from L.A. where they played the Clippers, and that's a tough one to handle.  There's certainly reason for hope, but probably not enough reason for expectation.

Lakers

Jazz

RECORD

40-13

32-18

NET POINTS PER GAME

+6.6 (2)

+5.1(6)

PACE

93.4 (9)

93.1 (12)

OFFENSIVE RATING

109.6 (9)

110.0 (7)

Turnover Rate (Off.)

11.9% (2)

14.2% (22)

FTA/FGA (Off.)

0.214 (24)

0.258 (4)

Free-Throw %

77.3 (11)

74.4 (21)

3PT FGA/FGA (Off.)

0.23 (11)

0.17 (27)

3PT% (Off.)

34.8 (16)

35.7 (11)

Effective FG% (Off.)

49.9 (15)

52.3 (5)

True Shooting% (Off.)

54.0 (14)

56.5 (6)

Off Rebounding Rate

27.2% (11)

25.4% (20)

DEFENSIVE RATING

102.5 (2)

104.5 (9)

Turnover Rate (Def.)

13.3% (19)

14.3% (7)

FTA/FGA (Def.)

0.196 (2)

0.264 (26)

3PT FGA/FGA (Def.)

0.23 (19)

0.24 (25)

3PT% (Def.)

31.8 (1)

35.0 (15)

Effective FG% (Def.)

47.7 (4)

49.1 (10)

True Shooting% (Def.)

51.6 (1)

53.9 (14)

Def Rebounding Rate

74.3% (11)

75.0% (5)

Numbers in parentheses indicate league rank. All numbers courtesy of Basketball Reference and HoopData.

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Comments

Display:

i 2nd that

YOU CAN PUT IT ON THE BOARD YES!
www.reverbnation.com/czheckproductions

by Czheck on Feb 10, 2010 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Hillary?

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on Feb 10, 2010 12:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey ur 1st on a Laker page!

Why the rest of us gotta be beatches? Save that for the Jazz page lol
I have a feeling the Lakers will win this one and snap the Jazz’s winning streak…..Pau should handle Okur and snap out of this shooting slump he’s been in and L.O. should be able to take Boozer/Milsap off the bounce at will…D-Will is gonna be a handful for Fish and Farmar, so Brown should get him whenever possible…..Lakers win by 8 and head into the all star break with their swag back in order

Kobe isnt good, he's just better than your favorite player

by EmmCeee on Feb 10, 2010 11:45 AM PST reply actions  

haha

yea i think we should be able to do a decent job for the most part tonight. im worried about d-will if we can take him out of the game like we somehow took tony parker out of the game i would be just fine.

parker was lighting us up at first think he had 12-14 pts by the end of the 1st and he eneded with around 18 pts so whatever we did after the first worked

YOU CAN PUT IT ON THE BOARD YES!
www.reverbnation.com/czheckproductions

by Czheck on Feb 10, 2010 12:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Any word on Kobe or Bynum?

Can’t find anything. I hope Bynum plays and Kobe sits. I want Drew to learn to play without the ball. Set screens, pass out of the post, and overall movement of footwork without the ball in his hands. And playing Utah will be a good way for him to learn to play defense. Footwork on defense is just as important, if not more, as it is on offense.

FOOTWORK DREW. FOOTWORK.

Well let me welcome everybody to the wild wild west. A state that's untouchable like Elliot Ness.

by pharoah on Feb 10, 2010 11:57 AM PST reply actions  

Bynum's knee bruise is healed

It’s just the hip that’s swollen,nothing serious…He’s taking some time off to get 100% for the 2nd half of the season

Kobe isnt good, he's just better than your favorite player

by EmmCeee on Feb 10, 2010 1:26 PM PST up reply actions  

thanks for the info

LA Sports is what keep me off the streets and out of trouble, thanks to all the teams Rams, Dodgers, Lakers, USC sports and the Love of Tennis.

by so.cal.native1952 on Feb 10, 2010 1:47 PM PST up reply actions  

im a bit worried about tonights game. Asking our role players to show up consistently seems like a little to much to ask : p

on a serious note however, we are really going to need the same big games from LO, Pau, and Artest. It seems like alot to ask just cuz we haven’t seen it happen too much, but at the same time we also haven’t been without kobe or bynum.

Needless to say, I will be watching this one with anticipation

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Feb 10, 2010 12:21 PM PST reply actions  

I'm a bit worried about this one too

Pau has a really tough time guarding Boozer and nobody playing tonight can guard Williams. Plus Kobe usually assassinates the Jazz. Looking forward to a big game from Lamar though. Lets hope he’s healthy enough to carry the load tonight

by wavenstein on Feb 10, 2010 12:48 PM PST up reply actions  

maybe artest plays on williams?

"Champions aren't made in the gym. Champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision."

- Muhammad Ali

by AmarDude on Feb 10, 2010 12:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Lamar is gonna have a big game,

Im expecting pua to put up his usual does of goodness. But lamar is gonna bring it. Artest has been getting into a nice offensive flow as well, so he should continue doing his thing.
As a team they need to focus on rebounding and boxing out tonite. The lakers cant give the jazz any second chance opportunities.
And we CANNOT let deron have his way with us!!! I do not want him to pimp slap the purple and gold tonite.

" I'm a human, not a sandwich"

by true_lakerfan on Feb 10, 2010 12:46 PM PST reply actions  

Would like to have a nice 3 game

winning streak going into the break with wins over WC contenders. Would really give us a nice edge if we can do it without a couple of starters. It’s going to be tough though…Go Lakers!

No more raining on BN's rainy parade, they took their ball and went home, lmao.

by S Jay Bruin on Feb 10, 2010 1:03 PM PST reply actions  

Lakers got this

125-68

"Champions aren't made in the gym. Champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision."

- Muhammad Ali

by AmarDude on Feb 10, 2010 1:16 PM PST reply actions  

OH YEAH! rec'd!

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on Feb 10, 2010 4:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Would obviously love to win up in Utah but I would be OK with a loss.

  • Killer schedule
    Brutal part of our schedule is coming to a close. Hated to lose to Cle, Mem & Den but loved the wins vs @Bos, Cha, @Por, & Sas. I think that Pau would have made more shots last game but is not sharp because of lack of rest-time and practice-time.
  • Get-away day
    This is a get-away day for the all-star break. So I would not be surprised if we weren’t very focused
  • Utah’s playing well
    We’re kinda banged-up. Although they did it in Portland, it is hard for me to expect the bench to step-up again on the road.
  • This game means more to Utah
    We beat them down in the playoffs for the last couple of years, we’re champs, we’re in 1st place in the west. So they are much more likely to care about this game than we are.

I will actually be more upset if Kobe plays tonight than if we lose tonight. Hope he doesn’t blow the chance for some much needed rest.

The Lakers "Too big, too strong, too long, too good."

by olf on Feb 10, 2010 4:00 PM PST reply actions  

Oh hey

the editor over at PtR is actually thanking you (!) for some technical BB question you asked, that he was able to ask an asst coach of the Spurs. Really classy fans over there if you ask me.
He still called you a troll though, lol.

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on Feb 10, 2010 4:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah it is kind of cool that they have press level access to the coaches. I wish the Lakers would ease up a bit and allow it for one/some of our guys here!

I started reading that blog over the summer because I wanted to gauge how big a threat the Spurs’ off-season moves would be to the Lakers. Their articles have an off-beat / quirky vibe that is often good for a chuckle or two. (I do like the articles here too.) Plus while they can give you some isht, they don’t ban you merely for being a Laker fan (like Celticsblog for example).

But I am Lakers Purple & Gold through & through. And while beating the Celts will always be my biggest joy, I do love beating those Spurs. Last game with out Kobe & Drew was especially sweet.

The Lakers "Too big, too strong, too long, too good."

by olf on Feb 10, 2010 9:37 PM PST up reply actions  

He still called you a troll though, lol.

Oh yeah, let’s just say I think he is jealous that I have all my hair or something. jk, :)

The Lakers "Too big, too strong, too long, too good."

by olf on Feb 10, 2010 9:41 PM PST up reply actions  

I wish the Lakers would ease up a bit and allow it for one/some of our guys here!

You got this right.

lol on the hair issue. He’s scary with his screen pic, but actually looks really old in the pic with the spurs asst. coach (forgot his name)

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on Feb 10, 2010 9:48 PM PST up reply actions  

Nah, he’s pretty cool. They do a good job of keeping things from getting out of hand without losing their sense of humor – kind of like the guys here (and without getting extra sensitive like celticsblog, cavsblog or blazer’s blog whatever they call those.)

I’m just crackin’ back at him for calling me a troll.

The Lakers "Too big, too strong, too long, too good."

by olf on Feb 10, 2010 10:22 PM PST up reply actions  

hah!

I’m going to go take a look see….

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on Feb 10, 2010 11:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Lets stop their music

Go Lakers!

"E-Coaches are heavy in here tonight! Take E-Sasha and put him on the E-bench on your fantasy league, that’ll show him!" - Jevon O

by altree on Feb 10, 2010 4:11 PM PST reply actions  

I personally am never okay with a loss

We are better, damnit, we are the best!

I mean, Lamar can dunk on the moon! THE MOON!

by 99bc99 on Feb 10, 2010 4:48 PM PST reply actions  

Kobe and Bynum Out

And thats ok. i hope kobester takes the useless all star break off too. The only time i wanna see him this weekend is when he is assisting the dunk champion shannon brown :)

by hrghori on Feb 10, 2010 5:43 PM PST reply actions  

Exactly!!!

Shannon for MVP…
wait…. I mean..
…for Dunk Champ!

by Hensi24 on Feb 10, 2010 5:57 PM PST up reply actions  

I think you mean MVD.

Most Valuable Dunker!!!

Go Shannon Go.

"I work my ass off every day in practice. How many other guys can say the same thing? Not many. I'm fighting against becoming soft. That's the worse thing you can say to a basketball player." - Dennis Rodman

by LakersFoEva on Feb 11, 2010 7:41 AM PST up reply actions  

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