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Revisit Season Win Total Odds as Posted by Vegas

At the halfway mark, who's performing better than expected, who is on pace, and who is a disappointment?

I like to use Vegas odds as an objective source for expectations, rather than analysts or fans.

http://www.docsports.com/2009/nba-season-win-totals-529.html

Team Wins Losses Win % Proj Wins Vegas Difference
New Jersey 3 37 0.075 6          28.5       (22.4)
Philadelphia 13 27 0.325 27          40.5       (13.9)
Detroit 14 26 0.35 29          41.5       (12.8)
Washington 14 26 0.35 29          41.5       (12.8)
Golden State 12 27 0.308 25          35.5       (10.2)
Minnesota 9 33 0.214 18          25.5         (8.0)
Indiana 14 27 0.341 28          34.5         (6.5)
Orlando 26 15 0.634 52          57.5         (5.5)
Portland 25 17 0.595 49          52.5         (3.7)
Utah 23 18 0.561 46          49.5         (3.5)
New Orleans 21 19 0.525 43          46.5         (3.5)
San Antonio 25 15 0.625 51          54.5         (3.3)
Chicago 18 21 0.462 38          40.5         (2.6)
Toronto 21 21 0.5 41          41.5         (0.5)
Cleveland 32 11 0.744 61          61.5         (0.5)
Boston 27 12 0.692 57          56.5          0.2
Denver 26 14 0.65 53          52.5          0.8
L.A. Lakers 32 9 0.78 64          62.0          2.0
L.A. Clippers 18 22 0.45 37          34.5          2.4
New York 17 24 0.415 34          31.5          2.5
Miami 21 19 0.525 43          40.0          3.1
Charlotte 20 19 0.513 42          37.5          4.6
Phoenix 24 18 0.571 47          41.5          5.3
Dallas 27 14 0.659 54          48.5          5.5
Sacramento 15 25 0.375 31          24.5          6.3
Milwaukee 16 23 0.41 34          25.5          8.1
Atlanta  26 14 0.65 53          44.5          8.8
Houston 23 18 0.561 46          35.5        10.5
Oklahoma City 23 18 0.561 46          35.5        10.5
Memphis 22 18 0.55 45          27.5        17.6

 

To start, of course the Nets are the biggest disappointment, on pace for only 6 wins, when they were expected to win 28-29 games this season.

Other underachievers include the Wizards, Pistons, Sixers and Warriors.

The teams currently on pace to blast through the over are Houston, Oklahoma, and Memphis.

Cleveland and Boston are almost exactly on pace, while the Lakers are 2 games ahead, but with a long road trip looming.

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