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The Magic Return, Sadly Without Rafer Alston

The Orlando Magic are something of a good-luck charm for the Los Angeles Lakers. When the two franchises interact, fate smiles on the Purple and Gold. The Lakers took Shaquille O'Neal off the Magic's hands. They acquired Trevor Ariza for the wretched duo of Brian Cook and Maurice Evans. And last June, as if I need to remind you, Orlando helpfully volunteered for the role of NBA Finals Punching Bag.

Tonight, the Magic are back. In the offseason they revamped their roster, bidding adieu to Hedo Turkoglu, Courtney Lee and horrendous point guard Rafer Alston. In their and others' places are Vince Carter, Ryan Anderson, Matt Barnes, Jason Williams (the non-murdering one) and Brandon Bass. The idea was to pile up enough talent to snag the franchise's first NBA banner, and it still might work out, but the team's looking pretty lost these days. Their record of 26-14 is nice, but it's good for "only" fourth in the East. More alarmingly, they've six of their last eight games, falling to such NBA luminaries as Chicago, Indiana and Washington. They arrive at Staples tonight smarting from consecutive road beatdowns in Denver and Portland.

Star-divide

In league circles there's emerging a theory that this is all VC's fault. In fairness, blaming VC is always fun. And it's true that he's having the worst healthy season of his career thanks to some ghastly shooting numbers. Overall, though, his production is better than what Orlando got from the hugely overrated Turkoglu, and the Magic's offense is basically the same as it was last season. They still take and make a ton of threes, and they get to the line more than almost any team in the league. They don't rank as an elite offense because they still miss way too many free throws - OHAI, Dwight Howard - and they collect few offensive rebounds.

No, Orlando's slippage this year has come on defense. Last season they were the NBA's best in points allowed per possession. This year they're sixth. The Magic don't force as many turnovers as they once did, and their iron grip on the three-point line has loosened. Compared to last season, Orlando opponents are taking more threes and making a higher percentage of them. A little of this you can hang on Carter. They also miss having Lee on the perimeter, as Williams is a pretty terrible defender.

The real fun tonight will be in the paint, where Howard will do battle with Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol. Drew didn't play much in the Finals last year. The task of defending Howard fell mostly to Pau, who acquitted himself well. Dwight struggled with Pau's superior quickness and never dominated offensively. Tonight he'll see a rotation of defenders that will also include Congo Cash himself, DJ Mbenga.

6a00d83451c3cb69e20120a612d489970b-500wi_medium

The Magic's backcourt is more formidable than the one they trotted out last June. Alston was comically bad, Jameer Nelson played not much and poorly as he'd just returned from injury, and Anthony Johnson somehow saw the court in non-garbage time. Yuck. It might have been the worst PG rotation ever seen in the NBA Finals. Nelson isn't back to his All-Star form, but at least he's healthy, and Williams has come back from the dead to be a credible backup. Jameer tortured the Lakers in the 2008-09 regular season. He doesn't look capable of doing so now.

It will be interesting to see what damage Orlando can do from long range tonight. They've got plenty of guys who can bomb away - including forwards Rashard Lewis and Ryan Anderson - so Laker bigs will have to close out forcefully. J.J. Redick, little used last year, now plays 20 minutes a night and hits 40% of his threes.

On offense the Lakers will have plenty of good options. Kobe Bryant will be defended primarily by Mickael Pietrus, who's Orlando's only reasonable shot at caging the Mamba. Lee was their other defensive stopper, and now he's off hating life in New Jersey. When Pietrus gets subbed out in favor of more offense, Kobe should light it up.

6a00d83451c3cb69e201156ff0a955970c-500wi_medium

It's also not clear how the Magic will defend the Lakers' various big men. Howard's awesome, of course, and he'll take whoever's playing center. But who guards Pau when he's on the floor with Bynum? Neither Lewis nor Barnes can handle him. Stan Van Gundy might reach deep into his bench for help from Brandon Bass or Marcin Gortat.

This game is taking place at the wrong time for Orlando. They're stumbling in the wilderness at the moment, trying to figure out who they are and how to regain their zing. The Lakers, meanwhile, are rested, getting healthy and look increasingly sharp. A strong win tonight would be a springboard to the Thursday battle royale in Cleveland.

One final note: our sister blog, Orlando Pinstriped Post, is one of SBN's best. They'll have much more on tonight's game, and it'll be worth your time to pay them a visit. If you do, please be excellent to everyone over there.

Lakers

Magic

RECORD

31-9

26-14

NET POINTS PER GAME

+7.1 (1)

+4.8 (7)

PACE

94.2 (7)

92.9 (14)

OFFENSIVE RATING

108.6 (11)

109.0 (9)

Turnover Rate (Off.)

12.6% (6)

13.7% (16)

FTA/FGA (Off.)

0.28 (24)

0.35 (3)

Free-Throw %

77.8 (7)

71.4 (30)

Effective FG% (Off.)

49.8 (16)

52.2 (5)

True Shooting% (Off.)

54.0 (15)

56.0 (7)

Off Rebounding Rate

27.3% (11)

24.3% (26)

DEFENSIVE RATING

101.1 (1)

103.8 (6)

Turnover Rate (Def.)

13.7% (15)

12.3% (27)

FTA/FGA (Def.)

0.26 (1)

0.29 (13)

Effective FG% (Def.)

46.9 (1)

48.1 (6)

True Shooting% (Def.)

50.9 (1)

52.3 (7)

Def Rebounding Rate

74.1% (11)

77.6% (2)

All statistical terms defined here. Parentheses indicate league rankings. Numbers are courtesy of Basketball Reference and HoopData.

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Comments

Display:

dunno if this was in the credits, but...

Shannon Brown is confirmed in:

http://www.nba.com/2010/news/01/18/sprite.dunk.pr/index.html?ls=iref:nbahpt1

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Jan 18, 2010 9:51 AM PST reply actions  

I hope that Luke's presence continues to be what the bench has been lacking

it sure seems that way after two games back. Although I rag on Bynum and his effort on defense, my biggest concern is really the bench. I’m not sure if their goal is to run the hell out of the ball or run the triangle. But I do know that when Luke is in there they actually do run it and it is a huge help. In others words, if the bench does improve then I would even say that there is no need to make any trades and to leave the team the way it is. But it is these games against “contenders” that says a lot about this Lakers team.

"If you want to find the dumbest guy in the room just find the first guy to tell you how smart he is." - JG

by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Jan 18, 2010 9:55 AM PST reply actions  

AMBUSH GAME AMBUSH GAME

Watch out Lakers, the Orlando not Earvin Johnson’s will be here in full effect. I think they’ll come out fired up to take it at us. Let’s not have another Christmas Massacre and beat them down!

by 99bc99 on Jan 18, 2010 11:14 AM PST reply actions  

i think so, too

as much as orlando has looked “down” these days, they’re proabably looking to get focused. Sort of like ourselves at Dallas a few days ago. Like us, they have the talent, they just need to “figure it out”. Not to mention they’re looking for revenge.

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 12:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Love my Lakers but they seem surprised when teams they beat in the playoffs recently come looking for revenge – Utah, Denver, Houston, Spurs. Come on guys lets see some effort today!

Which of these things is not like the others? 15 NBA Championships, most wins in NBA history, current NBA champion, lost by 20 to the F'ing Spurs.

by olf on Jan 18, 2010 1:09 PM PST up reply actions  

I wish Mbenga would get some sort of title in his name

so he’d be Dr. Congo Cash

Or Congo Cash Esq.

the Honorable Judge Congo Cahs

Baron Congo Cash

Lord Congo Cash

Duke Congo Cash

Archbishop Congo Cash

by KBZ on Jan 18, 2010 11:16 AM PST reply actions  

I think he has one....

Sensei Congo Cash

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on Jan 18, 2010 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I personally like Congo Cash Esquire

"A true laker fan is the only one in the room who believes there is still a chance, even though there is only .4 seconds left on the clock." - CG

by LakersFoEva on Jan 20, 2010 10:07 AM PST up reply actions  

this is a good game for us before we hit the road. no prediction here, but i hope the lakers show up. if we do, i like our chances. damn, next up, celeveland.

by chaucer on Jan 18, 2010 12:45 PM PST reply actions  

damn, bad storm in L.A. right now

by chaucer on Jan 18, 2010 12:46 PM PST reply actions  

haha

yeah…but to me its kinda awesome
u see the kingdom day parade???
the people who hosted it got drenched
then again i doubt anyone watched it…ahahahahahahahahahahahaha

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 1:08 PM PST up reply actions  

lmfao

who watches that shit anyways?? ROFL

by desecrator09 on Jan 18, 2010 1:29 PM PST up reply actions  

no one probably hahahahahahah

i was just flipping through channels
but you gotta admire their spirit hahaha

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 1:46 PM PST up reply actions  

not that awesome. a big freaking tree tell onto the street on my way to the gym.

by chaucer on Jan 18, 2010 4:14 PM PST up reply actions  

I don

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Jan 18, 2010 1:38 PM PST reply actions  

err...

I don’t get the title of this post. Is it sad because they are likely a better team without Alston? Or are you legitimately sad he’s no longer a Magic player?

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

by Justin N. on Jan 18, 2010 1:38 PM PST up reply actions  

I am going with the former since he followed it up with this.............

“Alston was comically bad,”

Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."

by pslakerfan on Jan 18, 2010 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

I meant: I wish they still had Rafer Alston

because he was so comically bad. I delighted in watching him play against the Lakers in the Finals.

by DexterFishmore on Jan 18, 2010 2:29 PM PST up reply actions  

i didn’t think he was that bad. in fact, i thought he played well in nelson’s absence in the games and series’ leading up to the finals. i thought it was unfair for him to see an injured nelson come back in the finals and take over alston’s minutes.

by chaucer on Jan 18, 2010 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

agreed. he was no "healthy" jameer nelson level type player

but he actually fit the magic’s scheme pretty well. he didn’t need the ball too much and was a defty shooter.

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 4:20 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah, Agree

with this. Maybe the stats show him to be bad, But I remember how he lit up the Cavs last year in the ECF precisely because they were leaving him alone. The Cleveland coaches looking at the stats and probably thinking, this guy is no-good. Well, he’s got two hands to shoot with.

by altree on Jan 18, 2010 5:14 PM PST up reply actions  

This will be a tough game..

The Magic have played really bad as of late and will be ready to go 2nite. Let’s hope our boys are ready to match their intensity.

by Analog Kid on Jan 18, 2010 2:29 PM PST reply actions  

im hoping luke was the answer,

that the bench needed. since his return, they seem to be alot calmer and not so speratic. they also seem to have more confidence in themselves. he is a great passer and is one of the bench players who sticks to the offense. I really hope its him and not a 2 – 3 game fluke for the bench. LLLLUUUUUUKKKKEEE!!!!!

How to spot a true laker fan: They are the only one in the room who believes there is still a chance, even though their is only .4 seconds left on the clock.

by LakersFoEva on Jan 18, 2010 3:27 PM PST reply actions  

or maybe the luke-lamar combo

because luke was there at the begining of the season when they sucked, too. but when pau came back (lamar to bench), luke was gone.

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 4:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Watching the Memphis game now

And it’s amazing how different they look from everyone’s predictions — prompt ball movement (including absolutely stunning examples of Zach Randolph deftly passing out of double teams) and actual effort on the defensive end. And it must be a thing in the Gasol genes, as the Memphis offense works much smoother when they operate through Gasol in the post, as he’s really adept at passing the ball out to open shooters and cutters. Hell, all they’re missing is drafting Tyreke Evans and DeJuan Blair instead of Hasheem Thabeet and DeMarre Carroll and they’d be a middling playoff team.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 4:16 PM PST reply actions  

he’s been a pleasant surprise. i wonder how he would have fit with the lakers had they kept him.

by chaucer on Jan 18, 2010 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

perhaps. but kobe can't wait for him to develop.

we needed the older one right way.
though, with drew in our lineup, marc gasol probably wouldn’t fit as well. he doesn’t play the PF position as well as pau (not currently, at least).

maybe some time down the line, memphis will gift wrap younger gasol for us, too. j/k.

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

He definitely doesn't have the same polish that Bynum has

In his offensive game, but he does have much better court awareness. It’s easy to see how he and Pau operate off each other very well on the Spanish national team. I suppose the best way to put it would be that a Pau-Marc-Odom rotation would be much more consistent than a Gasol-Bynum-Odom rotation, but the latter has far higher upside.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 4:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Why is Thabeet such a bust?

Seriously, I thought he’d do a bit better.

by 99bc99 on Jan 18, 2010 5:42 PM PST up reply actions  

thabeet isnt a bust, they are working him in very slowly. They already have gasol and randolph up front, so he’s kinda in the same situation kobe was when we had eddie jones, and the nick the quick van exel

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Jan 18, 2010 5:50 PM PST up reply actions  

he missed a couple weeks with a broken jaw

not sure where he is now in terms of stats

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 5:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, he was a big project

Everyone knew that whoever was drafting him was taking on a long commitment, and honestly, he’s been pretty good in limited minutes. His upside is pretty high.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 6:27 PM PST up reply actions  

still cant believe they went with thabeet.

with all that talent still on the board. how did they not know that he wasnt going to do anything but block shots. he isnt skilled enough to get consistent points or contribute on the offensive end.

memphis with evans and blair woudl be ridiculous. 2-4 seed in west most likely.

i guess thats why im glad we have a great FO.

"A true laker fan is the only one in the room who believes there is still a chance, even though there is only .4 seconds left on the clock." - CG

by LakersFoEva on Jan 20, 2010 10:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Charlotte is now 5th in the East

CRAP! What if somehow they make it to the finals (and assuming we make it there). We’re doomed!

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 4:39 PM PST reply actions  

Hahaha, I'll take Charlotte over any of the big four any day

In the playoffs, all regular season vibes go away. I’d also like to see Charlotte’s putrid offense attempt to score consistently on us over the course of a seven game series.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 4:47 PM PST up reply actions  

rotfl

theres no way in hell they will beat cleveland, boston, orlando, let alone atlanta in a 7 game series…the odds are as slim as the jets winning at indy then crushing the NFC opponent in the superbowl…

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 5:02 PM PST up reply actions  

tonites game is gonna be a doozy. I’m very worried for D-fish tonite….nelson is gonna eat him alive

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Jan 18, 2010 5:48 PM PST reply actions  

I agree, I definitely think we will be seeing a lot of gortat and bass, with the hopes that Bynum will be able to stay out of foul trouble.

If I were writing the game plan for this game it would to get the ball early and often to gasol in hopes of drawing early foul trouble for howard.

Tonight will be a great time for Bynum to prove himself as a capable defender to his doubters.

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Jan 18, 2010 6:03 PM PST reply actions  

Anyone watching Bos-Dal?

im conflicted about who to root for…. Dallas is probably gonna be the number 2 in the west, and Bos is… well boston……. Im just going to root for 4OT’s

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Jan 18, 2010 6:39 PM PST reply actions  

Dallas is still a pretty far #2

but i don’t want boston to lose home court on the east. they might need it to make the finals.

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 6:42 PM PST up reply actions  

No, no, no
Im just going to root for 4OT’s

I don’t want to start watching the Lakers game at the end of the second quarter.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 6:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Btw, what happened to "Third Quarter Collapse"?

I always thought that was a pretty creative name

by Nostance on Jan 18, 2010 6:55 PM PST reply actions  

They thought it was too negative

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 7:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Changed it to Orlando Pinstriped Post

they (the managers) probably think the title doesn’t describe their team adequately anymore.

by altree on Jan 18, 2010 7:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Anyone surprised at how good of an announcer McHale is?

That or hearing him next to Reggie Miller makes him sound like Hubie Brown, but he’s been pretty solid in his analysis and mannerisms.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 7:03 PM PST reply actions  

Still hate him. Always will.

Which of these things is not like the others? 15 NBA Championships, most wins in NBA history, current NBA champion, lost by 20 to the F'ing Spurs.

by olf on Jan 18, 2010 7:03 PM PST up reply actions  

So if the Lakers don't win the championship

would you rather the Celtics or the Mavs win it. To me the choice is easy.

Which of these things is not like the others? 15 NBA Championships, most wins in NBA history, current NBA champion, lost by 20 to the F'ing Spurs.

by olf on Jan 18, 2010 7:05 PM PST reply actions  

Dallas easy

Kidd deserves a ring.

To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

by Ben R on Jan 18, 2010 7:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Rings:

Malone: 0
Barkley: 0
Kidd: 0
Sasha Vujacic: 1 : )

In Kobe we trust!

by robi s on Jan 18, 2010 7:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, I think it makes the rings more special that those guys ain’t got one.

Which of these things is not like the others? 15 NBA Championships, most wins in NBA history, current NBA champion, lost by 20 to the F'ing Spurs.

by olf on Jan 18, 2010 7:10 PM PST up reply actions  

mark madsen 2

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 7:11 PM PST up reply actions  

he went to stanford btw

STANFOOOOORD

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Jan 18, 2010 7:13 PM PST up reply actions  

+1

on Kidd deserving a ring

by altree on Jan 18, 2010 7:20 PM PST up reply actions  

More alarmingly, they’ve six of their last eight games
Think you mean to say they’ve lost?

"That's a giant sig " - Ben R.

by Saurav A. Das on Jan 18, 2010 10:49 PM PST reply actions  

Think you mean to say 'they've lost'?
“More alarmingly, they’ve six of their last eight games”

"That's a giant sig " - Ben R.

by Saurav A. Das on Jan 18, 2010 10:51 PM PST up reply actions  

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