NBA Finals: Game 2 Preview
Is it too early to consider this a must-win game for Orlando? I'm sure plenty of people would say no, it is not too early. Based on how well the Lakers played in Game 1 on Thursday, the Magic need to equalize this series. Their is serious doubt in the minds of many as to whether this can even be a competitive series; If the Lakers go up 2-0, that doubt may begin to creep into the minds of the Magic, as well.
Furthermore, consider that the Finals series format is potentially beneficial, but also quite risky, to the team that does not have home court advantage. The potential benefit is that after five games, Orlando will have played three home games to L.A.'s two, even though the Lakers actually have home court advantage. The risk, however, lies in the fact that it is extremely difficult to win three straight games at this level of competition. Considering how the Lakers have played in the last three games, and how thoroughly they dominated the Magic on Thursday, I feel confident saying it's not only difficult, but actually impossible for the Magic to beat the Lakers three straight times. Not impossible in the sense of Einstein and the scientific method and the laws of physics – impossible in the sense that it's just not going to happen. Period.
Draw this out to its logical conclusion, and you begin to see why this is a must-win game for the Magic. It is not just about the psychological effect of being down 2-0, though that would certainly be a concern. Nor is it about having to win four out of five games, though that would certainly be a huge problem. It's about the fact that if the Magic can't be counted on to win three straight – at home or otherwise – then they will need to take not one game in Los Angeles, but two. Of course, the Magic taking two straight in L.A. is about as likely as them taking three straight in Orlando.
The only way the Magic could reasonably be expected to win this championship series is to take Game 2 at Staples Center, take two of the three at home, and then come back and split the final two in L.A. Even that is a tall order, but it is really the only conceivable possibility.
Conclusion: Game 2 is a "must-win" game for the Magic.
Read on for more on the upcoming Game 2 in Los Angeles...
The Magic's problems all start with the soon-to-be 2009 Finals MVP, Kobe Bryant. To put it bluntly, what they did in Game 1 failed miserably. Kobe Bryant is not LeBron James; as I have said on many occasions, a player with a singular incredible ability can be contained much more easily than a player with an incredibly diverse overall skill set. Keeping LeBron James away from the hoop was nothing original. The Spurs did it to sweep the Finals in 2007; the Celtics did it to grind out a victory in the Conference Finals in 2008; and now the Magic used it to roll to a six-game Conference Finals victory in 2009. But the Magic need to remember who their opponent is, and quickly. Kobe Bryant is not LeBron James, and so simplistic a strategy will not work.
Sag off of Kobe to take away the layups and dunks, and he'll nail those jumpshots all night long. Then, before you know it, they'll be stepping up to take away the jumpshot – if he makes enough of them, they won't feel they have a choice. And that's when he'll do what he did at the end of the first half in game one, baiting the defender with the outside shot and then blowing by for the layup or dunk.
Unfortunately, the solution isn't that easy. Just ask Denver. Play up in Kobe's face to prevent the jumpshot, and he'll be getting into the paint all night long. That puts the defense even more off balance, and creates endless opportunities for free throws for Kobe and wide open shots for his teammates. What, then – double team? The problem is that Kobe no longer fears passing to his center, now that he's got a couple that are very capable of catching and finishing. He no longer fears to pass to his point guards, now that he's got a couple that can hit shots and make plays. He no longer fears to pass to his power forward, now that he's not named Brian Cook. And even Lamar Odom is playing great these days!
In all seriousness, Kobe Bryant showed in the last two games of the Western Conference Finals why you can't trap him. The idea that he's a selfish player is antiquated, and was never very accurate in the first place. Such a silly theory is nothing more than troll fodder, anymore. Meanwhile, the rest of this team is too good to be allowed to play four on three. And in the Conference Finals, the team as a whole seemed to find the perfect balance, working Denver's double teams on Kobe and Pau Gasol to perfection.
Quite frankly, I'm not sure Orlando has much of a choice. Their initial game plan against Kobe failed miserably, but the other options are even worse. Kobe Bryant is just that lethal. But given the options, I expect they'll continue to let him shoot the mid-range jumper. Given that he's one of the greatest shooters of the mid-range jumper in the history of the game, I expect him to continue to hit it. What remains to be seen is whether or not the Magic will eventually break down, panic, and start doubling Kobe. Given the stakes, and the importance of Game 2, if he's playing like he did on Thursday, then I expect it will happen before the night is over.
Lamar Odom, as always, continues to be an x-factor. But I'll tell you a little secret: I'm less worried about him right now than I have ever been. Why? Because it's about defense. I believe that The Candyman has fully bought in on the defensive end, as has the rest of this team. On Thursday, he was out of his mind on defense. When Lamar Odom is playing that kind of defense, it's hard for teams to score – especially when he is matched up with one of their primary scoring options. Furthermore, Lamar Odom playing high energy, intense defense is the kind of thing that gets the entire team going. He's got that emotional factor, where when he is doing it, they're not just driven by it – they're drawn into it.
As we know, defense is primariliy about effort, and I'm not worried about Odom's effort at this point. I believe in the man's heart, and in the strong need he feels for redemption and validation. Furthermore, if he is putting his heart and soul into defense, playing with the frenetic energy we saw in Game 1, it is simply inevitable that he will be involved on offense. That aggressiveness will leak over, and he won't be able to be passionate on defense and blasé on offense. Because it all starts with defense, which comes down to effort, I'm honestly not worried.
Andrew Bynum will be a factor. I'm saying it here, predicting it with confidence. It's not just that his knee appears to be doing better, though it is. It's that he has understood his role. And know that when I say he will be a factor, I don't mean in the way he was in late January, where he was putting up 20/17 games. I mean more of what he did in Game 1, where he played aggressive defense, benefited from the attention given to Kobe and Pau on offense, and fouled Dwight Howard hard when he needed to. Fisher said it during the Western Conference Finals, and it's worth repeating that this is a personal sacrifice for Bynum, and it shouldn't go unnoticed. The fouls put him on the bench, and he desperately wants to be on the court. But the 22 minutes he delivered on Thursday were far more valuable than 34 minutes of the tentativeness we've seen in previous games. I expect more of the same, and I see it, that is more than adequate from Bynum. I'm proud of him for understanding his role and being willing to take the personal hit in order to help his team win a championship.
The chess game between coaches will be interesting to watch. Phil Jackson played Stan Van Gundy like a fiddle in Game 1. He and Kobe Bryant saw the weakness in Orlando's defense, and the early high pick-and-roll they went to was utterly destrictive. Van Gundy and the Magic were unable to adjust and counter. If Orlando's coaching staff don't get it together and find a way to keep up with the wiles of Jackson and Bryant, this series will be over before you know it.
Here's something to watch for: Pau Gasol running the floor. I sure hope you noticed it in Game 1. The man is not just running – he is sprinting. In a game that lasts almost three hours, he looks like he's competing in the 100 meter dash. The fact that he typically plays the most minutes on the team, certainly more than your typical big man, and that he has been doing so relentlessly throughout the regular season and the playoffs, speaks volumes to his conditioning. How a man his size can hold up under such intense physical strain for such long duration, and handle it so well, is beyond me. It is a pure joy to witness, and I hope you notice that tall, stark white Spaniard streaking down the court.
Folks, I leave you with this thought: If the Lakers can keep up this effort, they will be celebrating victory in front of a hostile crowd. Now, don't freak out on me, because that is not a prediction. That is a conditional statement, with a pretty significant condition. But it is beginning to look like they just might be reaching a point where they can play at this level consistently, and if they do, quite frankly, I don't care what the Magic do. So if you're going to this game, as I will be, then do like me and soak it in. I wouldn't bet on it yet, but it's not inconceivable that this could be the last Lakers game played in Staples Center this year.
My prediction for Game 2: A beter Magic team and a tougher game, but a third quarter separation and another Lakers win, giving them a strong upper hand and putting them halfway toward their ultimate goal.
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11 comments
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Comments
"Effort"
Is this really the correct word? They are in the finals. They are in the finals with one of the hungriest Laker teams I’ve ever seen in my life. People say this Laker team is battling with a sense of entitlement. Uh? The 2004 Lakers had a sense of entitlement. Do you see any attitude similarities between those two teams?
Pau Gasol is not going to suddenly stop sprinting his ass off. Kobe is not leaving Mamba Mode. Lamar Odom knows what is at stake and knows what he needs to do to get the job done. Bynum is not going to let Howard dunk on him, if given the choice. Vujacic is still going to foul within his first 3 game time possessions.
I don’t think effort is going to stop this team from winning any future games. A combination of execution (separate from effort, imo) and the opposing team’s effort/execution might. Every Laker that steps on the floor in this series is going to bring it, but that doesn’t guarantee they’ll have a good game offensively.
Effort is, of course, more correlated to the defensive end of things like you said. To me it is almost unfathomable that any Laker in the regular rotation isn’t ready to leave it all on the floor…even if they’re up 3-0. Effort will be there. Execution might not.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
by Justin N. on Jun 7, 2009 4:40 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
"Entitlement" died in the Houston series...
"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal
by timbo on Jun 7, 2009 8:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Part of what we perceived as entitlement
Was also pacing. But they couldn’t well say they were pacing themselves, could they? That sounds just like entitlement.
Well, now the pacing is done. I believe the Lakers will hold nothing back in terms of energy and effort from here on out. But like Justin N. said, those two are nothing without execution.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Jun 7, 2009 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The key lies with the Lakers...
If the Lakers can maintain their defensive “effort” like they did in game 1, this series will be short. The “effort” comment by Dwight Howard goes to show how young and inexperienced this team is. It’s the Finals, how do you not bring the “effort”?
by BallerBabe on Jun 7, 2009 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
the lakers will win game 2, high-handedly. i am sure of it.
by chaucer on Jun 7, 2009 9:55 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Orlando is so full of themselves
they forgot who they were playing. Yeah, what they did in the EC road was impressive, but until they respect their opponent, this will be not series at all- the Lakers will be sweeping them off their cloud. Their game one plan demonstrated their lack of consideration of Lakers talent, and the constant and nauseating "our bad’ after game one interviews, only highlighted that attitude. Ok so the Magic are smarter then game one and they realize how good are the Lakers, as Josh clearly points out the quagmire the face, now what do they do with Kobe? Unless Kobe is not 100%, there is no answer. I really believe the Lakers will be spraying the bubbly on Magic’s home court.
by Jello Is Jiggling on Jun 7, 2009 11:05 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Double teaming Kobe....
I think the mistake that most teams make in double teaming Kobe is how, not if. Most of the time when Kobe is double teamed it helps the Lakers more than it hurts them. In my opinion this is why:
When teams double team Kobe they tend to do it out near the 3 point line, more like a trap. Kobe invariably turns and heads out toward the mid-court line and the defenders follow. Once he has gone as far as he can and brought the defenders with him. He then will usually make a pass to the outlet helper, who in turn makes a pass down low, and voila. A basket and Kobe’s “hockey assist”. The mistake here is following Kobe. Once you double and he moves away, the second defender should let him go and get back to his man. Even Kobe is not going to beat you from 40 feet away. I think Kobe does this on purpose and in the heat of the moment the defenders don’t know what else to do except to follow him.
I hope this is what happens tonight because it almost never works for the other team. BTW, sometimes he just splits the double and then it is 5 on 3. LOL
Well, sir, you are a cowardly son of a bitch! You just shot an unarmed man!.......Well, he should have armed himself if he's going to decorate his saloon with my friend. – Will Munny
by pslakerfan on Jun 7, 2009 11:57 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with all points in this article
I expect a better effort and energy from the Magic and a close game that I Lakers will win. Lakers just have matchup advantages and if Magic continue to play Lee, they will be in for a long night again.
by BrittneyM on Jun 7, 2009 11:58 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Stay humble my friends
I like the Lakers’ chances and want them to win but ANYTHING can happen. A couple of foul calls go the other way and then the Laker bigs spend more time on the pine. Plus the Magic make a few more shots and suddenly it’s a game.
If the Magic take game 2 they’ll be headed home for 3 games where they’ll get more calls and have an easier time making shots – suddenly it would be a series. (If the Magic don’t win game 2 then they are DONE.)
In game 1 the Lakers came out with great intensity & execution. It was figuratively like they punched the Magic in the face. They gotta bring it again for game 2.
Lastly, I think Kobe’s demeanor it meant mostly for his teammates. It says “this is not playtime, no mercy, no losing focus and no f’ing around”. Hope it continues to work.
by lazNirv on Jun 7, 2009 12:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Pau Gasol = Kareem???
As far as conditioning is concerned he is running like Cap used to.
Cap played a very long time and i think its because he ran so often and prepared his body to do so.
Pau Gasol’s body type is similar to Kareems body type, which is more long and smooth, unlike Shaq or Patrick Ewing or espacially Yao.
Its takes less for Dwight Howard/Pau Gasol/David Robinson type big men to play an up and down game, but the lakers need to feed the big man if he’s going to run the floor.
My prediction for game 2 is Kobe gets doubled a ton and Pau gets a triple double.
by dodgers2009 on Jun 7, 2009 12:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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