Magic 108, Lakers 104: Game 3 Recap
This one is on Kobe.
It's hard to blame him too much when he was the primary reason the Lakers were in the game at halftime. The Magic shot 75% from the field in the first half, including 44% from three-point range, and yet took only a five-point lead into the half, and Kobe was a large part of that. He was 7-10 in the first quarter for 17 points, along with three rebounds. He scored 21 points on his first 11 shots – efficiency that would have Doug Collions raving, a rate of 1.9 points per shot. At the same time, he also dished out eight assists for the game – half of the entire team's 16 total – in a formidable effort to create good shots for his teammates.
Unfortunately, this was a four-point loss, and in such a close game, one or two mistakes can make the difference. Kobe came up short in several key ways that caused this loss.
Click on through for more...
As brilliant as Kobe Bryant was in the first half, he struggled in the second. Had he played at even a decent level, by his own standards, the Lakers likely would have won this game. Instead, he failed in several crucial ways that resulted in the loss:
- After hitting eight of his first 11 shots, he hit only two of his next 13. (He did make his final shot attempt, but by that time it was too late to matter.)
- He missed five of his 10 free throws. Had he made them at his usual rate, the game likely would have been tied. Had he made all of them, the way he usually does in games like these, the Lakers would likely have won. I've held LeBron James accountable for his missed free throws in the Eastern Conference Finals; while Kobe's five missed free throws didn't all come in the fourth quarter, those five points were nonetheless critical in such a close game. They were misses the Lakers couldn't afford.
- With 2:02 remaining, he forced up a contested three-pointer from the left wing that was simply a bad shot. It was a rushed possession, and there was time left in the shot clock to find a better shot. Had he done that, the Lakers might have been able to tie the game with less than two minutes remaining. Instead, Kobe took and missed that ill-advised three-pointer, and the Lakers trailed the rest of the game.
- With under 30 seconds remaining, Bryant attempted to split a double team on the perimeter and had the ball swatted away. Gasol dove for it, retrieved it, and then passed it to Kobe, who again couldn't control it. While it is correct to point out that Gasol should have called time out instead of trying to get the ball to Kobe with two defenders hovering above, it was Kobe's initial mistake that caused the turnover. Additionally, when Gasol attempted the pass, Kobe had a great chance to grab the ball, and he bobbled it, leading to a turnover and free throws for Mickael Pietrus.
- The final possession of the game was a three-pointer for Kobe with 24 seconds left. Had he made it, it would have been a one possession game and given the Lakers a chance to tie it. But he missed, and a series of offensive rebounds and additional misses ensued.
So Game 3 is on Kobe – and honestly, he's okay with that. That is how he wants it. All he has asked for is the opportunity to be in this position, with a chance to lead his team to a championship as The Man. He fervently longs for the glory of success, but don't think for a minute that he's unaware of, or unwilling to accept, the responsibility. He wants that responsibility. On most nights, he is Reason Number One for a Lakers victory; tonight, his late failures outweighed his early success and resulted in a loss. That is a responsibility that he is okay with. It is also not something I expect to continue.
Aside from Kobe Bryant's second half and, of course, the end result, this was a fantastic game. For most of it, the Lakers played well. In the final minutes of a very close game, as they methodically cut into Orlando's lead, it appeared that they would be able to coolly make all of the right plays and decisions and pull out a tough win that would likely have broken Orlando's spirits. In the end, however, all it took was a couple of mistakes, while the Magic made all the right plays – and most of their free throws, down the stretch.
Give credit to the Magic; they deserve it. They shot the lights out, setting an NBA Finals record for shooting percentage in a game at 62.5% from the field. Quite frankly, they won the game because they simply couldn't miss. The Lakers played subpar defense at times, excellent defense at others, and in the end it simply didn't seem to matter. The Magic just hit their shots, either way. Many of them were quite difficult shots – quite a few of them were shots that, if missed, could get a player benched. But the Magic were on fire – not just from distance (in fact, they only shot 35.7% from three-pointe range), but from everywhere.
On the other hand, it's not as though the Lakers played poorly. They shot 51.3% from the field, while taking 14 more shots than the Magic (usually, those two numbers by themselves are enough to almost guarantee a win). The rebounding game was essentially even, and they collected 11 offensive rebounds to the Magic's 5. They scored 40 points in the paint to Orlando's 36. Both teams had 10 fast break points and 13 turnovers. Both teams attempted essentially equal amounts of free throws – with the single most glaring failure by the Lakers being that they made only 16 of their 26 attempts from the line.
In all, it's hard to be disappointed with the game the Lakers played, aside from the final few minutes, which fall mainly on Kobe's shoulders. They shot very well, rebounded well, outscored their opponents in the paint, got more shots, and played even with the Magic in both turnovers and fast break points. All of this, they did on the road against a very inspired, very tough opponent that was playing for its life. Meanwhile, the Magic's offensive success was as much because they were simply playing out of their minds as it was the result of any Lakers breakdowns.
The story of the game, aside from the late failures, was simply the Magic's inability to hit shots. Time and time again, I turned to those I was watching the game with and said, "They just can't miss!" Try as the Lakers may, they weren't going to get back in the game if the Magic didn't miss a shot or two, from time to time.
Often times, a loss feels almost like a waste of my time. That sounds bad, I'm sure, but think of it this way: If you knew before the game that they Lakers would lose, would you watch it? I might if I had a specific reason to – for example, if there was something specific I wanted to see or learn from the game. But in general, I'd just as soon forego the disappointment and letdown of three hours of high hopes that coming crashing down in a loss. Last night, however, did not feel that way. Despite the end result, the game didn't feel like a waste, and I wasn't overly disappointed.
The Magic simply refused to lose this game; they wouldn't be denied. They deserve a lot of respect for how they played, for the heart they displayed and the discipline and composure they showed down the stretch. The Lakers made mistakes, but the fact of the matter is that mistakes do happen; perfect games don't exist. All things considered, I think the Lakers' did a fairly good job of minimizing those mistakes. They did not give this game away; the Magic took it. The Lakers did not lose it; the Magic won it.
Congratulations to the Magic for a fantastic game and a historic shooting night. However, given what it took for the Magic to win, and the likelihood of them shooting that well again (not that they won't shot well, just not that well), I think the Lakers have plenty to feel good about.
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Everyone is talking about Magic’s shooting percentage. So what did the Lakers shoot? The whole game it felt like nobody missed much. Especially the first half, I didn’t see the Lakers miss many either.
Would have been higher w/o all the rushed 3's at the end of the game ...
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by Nate Timmons on Jun 10, 2009 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions
Think of it this way: the Magic shot at an NBA FINALS RECORD CLIP for that game — and it came down to a coin-toss finish.
THAT’S a “good loss.”
"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal
No doubt
He’s our best player, and has won many games for us. But that does not excuse Kobe Bryant from any blame. He lost the Lakers the game with his over obsession with being “The Man” and refusal to trust his teammates not named Derek Fisher.
If Kobe hadn’t been hot and hadn’t made a number of the shots he took in the 1st Half, this is a 20 point blowout. I spent much of the game, from about the 2nd Quarter on, screaming at the TV for Kobe to pass the fucking ball to one of his many open teammates.
His obsession with being a road assassin kills our team on too many occassions, and too often he escapes blame simply because he is Kobe Bryant. It’s time, Kobe. It’s time to realize there’s more to the game of basketball than shooting the ball. It’s time to trust your teammates. It’s time to PASS THE BALL.
I love Kobe Bryant, but this one is most DEFINATELY on you. Sonofabitch!!!!!!!!!!!
The Lakers lost the game on the defensive end
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Jun 10, 2009 9:01 AM PDT up reply actions
And the poor free throw shooting too.
Very uncharacteristic of the team so don’t expect to see that again.
umm
We do this alot. Don’t have the numbers in front of me, but just from watching, I’m willing to bet the Lakers have been one of the worse FT shooting teams this postseason. They constantly have games where NOBODY can seemingly hit two straight free throws.
here's the numbers
Regular Season: 14th in the NBA with 77.0% FT shooting
Postseason: 10th out of 16 teams with 74.7% FT shooting
The funny part is, I’m willing to bet money that the Lakers, as a team, shot better FTs when Shaq was on the team. It seems, when it comes to freebies, we’ve been slapped with the Shaqino Curse. :P
It's one game, man
This is the kind of thing the haters do. I wrote the recap, and I pinned this game on Kobe, because in this game he tried to do too much, and also made several crucial errors.
But we’ve seen him trust Ariza, Gasol, Fisher, even Odom in crunch time. Hell, even Sasha (yes, even this year). He’s one of the best passers in the game, and last night was the exception, not the other way around. (By the way, he took 25 shots, three of which came in the final few seconds – I don’t think 22 shots is that much for him, especially when he’s got 8 assists.)
He made some mistakes this game… let’s not overreact and blow this out of proportion, acting like he’s a selfish player that does this to this team all the time. The haters will do plenty of that for us.
Strength & Honor
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by Josh Tucker on Jun 10, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions
Tired
Tired.
Kobe was tired and fatigued. I was wondering why PJ held him out that long in the fourth. And I got my answer
But when you get a steal and miss a lay up, a few free throws, rush a 3 point shot and fumble your dribble between two players; that shows you are a tired greatest player of the universe.
Orlando shot lights out could have lost. Props to the “O.” I initially I guessed 6 games, but let’s see it the Lakers can prove me wrong and kill it in 5.
Best,
That missed layup was very very surprising to me
You don’t see that very often
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Jun 10, 2009 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions
Josh!
It was nice meeting you btw at the ESPN Zone aside from PsLakerFAn, I forgot the other kat’s real name and handle.
That was Sideout11
Strength & Honor
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by Josh Tucker on Jun 10, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions
Good to meet all three of you guys
And Sideout, that was one bitchin’ homemade Ariza jersey.
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Whowins.com
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Up WWL @ HHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team winning Games 1-2 and losing Game 3 with Games 1-2 at home and Game 3 on the road (Los Angeles) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2009 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 211-41 (.837)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 43-11 (.796)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 108-11 (.908)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 14-3 (.824)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 119-133 (.472)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 25-29 (.463)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 63-56 (.529)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 10-7 (.588)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1083 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2009 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
My thoughts pretty much echo Josh's
Good game for the Lakers, Great, outside the realm of normal possibility, game for the Magic. If that’s what it takes to beat the Lakers in the Finals, we should definitely be able to celebrate a championship.
One thing I’d like help figuring out. The Lakers were able to stay in the game because they took 14 more shots than Orlando. WHERE DID THOSE EXTRA SHOTS COME FROM? They didn’t come from turnovers (split 13-13). Offensive rebounds (11-5) can explain 6 extra shots. And free throws for the Magic can explain another 2-3. That still leaves at least 5 more shots the Lakers got over the Magic with no logical statisitcal explanation that I can think of.
For my money, I wasn’t particularly disappointed with the defense. A lot of times, I think people equate defensive performance with defensive success, and that’s not always the case in basketball. It’s the same defense we’ve been playing the last two games, but the Magic just dealt with it much much better than previously. Yes, there were wide open shots, but ball movement and penetration can create that. The Magic did a great job of attacking the rim when we did close out on shooters, and, as mentioned, they also hit some ridiculous shots, as well as some tough shots that are low percentage on top of the ridiculous. I’ll take those Rafer Alston double clutch hook shot layups and awkward floaters all night long.
The Magic are too good offensively for you to take everything away. The Lakers are doing a great job reducing Howard’s role in the offense, and spending the rest of their effort on Hedo and Rashard. This allows the Rafer Alstons and Mikael Pietruses to get open shots (and 20 foot fallaway jumpers too!). And if they go 8-12, or 7-11, you live with it because that’s the risk of the defensive game plan. But that’s not going to happen every game (even at home) for either player. And it took both of them having that kind of game for the Magic to pull out a close game, even with good to very good efforts from Hedo and Rashard.
The point is: What exactly would you have the Lakers change about their defense? Outside of maybe making Dwight earn the double a little bit more, and using Clockwork Orange style therapy on LO so that he knows to NEVER LEAVE RASHARD LEWIS FOR ANY REASON, I wouldn’t change anything about the defense. They’ve done a great job of creating situations in which the role players need to be the ones who make big plays, and those role players are 1-3 so far.
If the Magic can play 4 games like last night, they deserve to win a championship. But I’ll believe it when I see it.
not sure
even using the possessions formula, the Lakers came out with 87.8 possessions, and the Magic with 81.8 possessions. At the very least, this shows that APBRmetrics is not foolproof, and does’t take into account things like free throws from fouls on the 3 point shot.
Basketball is like all other sports. Possessions must be equal, or have a difference of only 1, as one team cannot have two possessions to the opponents zero.
Actually, it can be plus 2
Since every quarter is a separate entity, you can have +1 posession for every quarter that you start and end with the ball. You only start with the ball in 2 quarters though.
So, assuming that’s what happened, we’re still missing 3 possessions?
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by Josh Tucker on Jun 10, 2009 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions
I don't even think we can assume this happened
It requires one team to have the final shot at the end of every single quarter. I can’t get a hold of a play by play, but I didn’t think the Lakers got a shot off at the end of the game, which would already eliminate one of those bonus possessions. I don’t remember exactly how the other three quarters ended.
Do rebounds count as possessions?
If Kobe takes a 3, and Dwight collects the rebound as time expires, is that a possession? If it is, then the Magic had 3 of the 4 quarter-ending possessions. If it is not, then the Lakers had 3 of the 4 quarter-ending possessions.
So, how many missing possessions does that account for?
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I think for the purposes of a "posession" it counts for the Magic
But what we should be concerned with is who took the last shot/shot related activity (free throws) in a quarter, which would count for the Lakers.
So I’d say the end of quarter numbers count for a +1, still 4-5 extra shots to account for. I’ve brought the resident expert, Dex, in on the search on his Tempo Free breakdown.
The final word
Had the Lakers taken the final shooting possession of all 4 quarters, they would have had a +2 margin in shooting possessions. Because the only took the last shot of 3 out of 4 quarters, that gives them a baseline +1 in shooting possessions, accounting for one of the missing 5 possessions.
Then, as Dex pointed out, the ESPN box score does not show team offensive rebounds. It simply adds up individual offensive rebounds. The Lakers had 5 team offensive rebounds to the Magic’s 1, putting them at +4 in team offensive rebounds and +10 in total offensive rebounds. That +4 margin in team offensive rebounds accounts for our 4 missing shooting possessions.
Thanks to Dex, loose ends taken care of.
Strength & Honor
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EXACTLY!!
I notice this all the time. More shots. But there is always an explanation! Rebound differential, turnovers, free throws. Those are the typical factors that account for more or less shots. But those things don’t account for everything.
Where did the extra shots come from??
Personally, I’ll be shocked if the Magic can play even one more game like this.
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by Josh Tucker on Jun 10, 2009 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Even the best fall down some times
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ezDDZFuo6zU
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
Coaching...and blog party
Is it just me or does it seem like a great coaching matchup? I think Phil as an awesome coach as far as pregame preparation and adjustments between games. He’s also relatively good in-game. Conversely, SVG’s forte seems to be in-game adjustments and plays. I think he has handled games very well from the sidelines.
He’s willing to try things that, while they seem common sense, most coaches wouldn’t try (playing lineups without a PG, Hedo on Kobe, the alley-oop to Lee at the end of reg in game 2). I have been very impressed with his flexibility during games.
On another note, will people be watching at the ESPN zone again for game 4?
Josh, I always anjoyed reading your articles @ respectkobe.com and am glad you have time for this again.
Haha
“have time” is such a relative term…
Strength & Honor
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by Josh Tucker on Jun 10, 2009 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions
Not entirley dissapointed.
This is the NBA Finals and while I should be pissed like normal when we lose, I wasn’t last night. Give props to the Magic for the incredible shooting, yet with all that we still had a chance to win and this one was on Kobe. He is the best closer in the NBA and unfortunatly had an off-night. I am confident that this was a once in a blue moon kind of things and will be a different story tomorrow. This was the game I figured the Magic were going to win after we went up 2-0, so now it is our time to respond and put the Magic on the brink.
GO BRONCOS IN 2009 AND BEYOND!!
Lakers lead NBA Finals 2-1
"He’s human man," Odom said. "And look at the first quarter, he was inhuman. A superhero. We win together, we lose together.
"Kobe is the ultimate competitor. He’s tough on himself. That’s why he is so good. I’ve seen Kobe hit shots when he’s winded, sick, with the flu. It didn’t come down to one play.
"There’s one guy I want to be in the foxhole with every time, win, lose or draw. That’s who I want to be with."

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