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Preview: Lakers @ Jazz, Game 4

Game 4, the second game of this series to be played in Utah, takes place tonight, and in the the eyes of many, the result should be all but guaranteed. In fact, many have felt certain for quite some time that tonight's game would be a win, regardless of the result of Game 3 — myself included.

If they had won Game 3, tonight would have been a chance to eliminate the Jazz, and one can only hope that the Lakers will be motivated when such an opportunity does present itself. Alas, the Jazz took the first game in Utah, but that should provide the Lakers with even more motivation. They have played at times as though they were bored by this series; having now lost a game, surely their interest has been renewed.

Star-divide

Though Game 3 went into the loss column and was, in the eyes of many, a complete disaster, it's interesting to look at how close the Lakers were to a win despite playing so very poorly. Consider the following:

  • Kobe Bryant shot 5-24, and in general, had one of the worst playoff games of his career.
  • Pau Gasol hit only four of 10 free throws, despite shooting 78 percent from the line this season.
  • Trevor Ariza shot only 3-9, and had zero steals and zero blocks.
  • Andrew Bynum played only seven minutes, had five fouls, and totaled only four points and two rebounds.
  • Luke Walton played eight minutes, but had zero assists and zero rebounds, and did not score.
  • Kobe took just four of his 24 shots from inside the painted area.
  • The Lakers as a team shot 36.8 percent from the field.
  • They totaled only 15 assists on 32 baskets — far below average for the best passing team in the league.
  • The top rebounding team in the league, they were beat on the boards by 15 rebounds.
  • They shot only 61.5 percent from the free throw line.
  • They forced six more turnovers than the Jazz, but only managed to cash in on three more points off of turnovers.
  • Overall, they played horrendously for three out of four quarters, with their only decent stretch being the first 10 minutes of the third — during which time, they built a 13-point lead, only to start giving it away with two minutes left in the period.
  • During the Jazz' fourth quarter comeback, in which they eventually grabbed the lead, Matt Harpring, of all people, was the key offensive factor.
  • Boozer totaled 23 points and 22 rebounds, including 16 rebounds in the first half.

Despite all of this — and despite playing in Utah, on the toughest home court in the league — they tied the game with 11 seconds to go, and lost by two on a tough fall-away shot by Deron Williams.

Though the result was a loss, the circumstances have to be encouraging. It required a veritable perfect storm for the Jazz to pull off a last second, two-point victory. The likelihood of the Lakers being this bad again, in this many ways, is extremely slim. Had they improved to their average in just one of any of the above areas, the result would likely have been a win.

Above it all, tonight — having lost a game they should have won, and having gotten a taste of the challenge that is playing in Utah — they should be motivated for the first time since well before the playoffs began. Game 3 will serve to them as a sort of wake-up call, and a motivated, intense Lakers team will show up for Game 4.

Don't expect a perfect game. It's likely that the Lakers will jump out to a large lead early in the game, so don't be surprised if they let up a little once they build a 15- or 20-point lead. The key, however, will be to dominate the beginnings of both halves, as that will keep the Utah crowd fairly silent and minimize them as a factor. Jump out to an early lead, and then squash any hopes of a comeback to start the second half, and the Jazz will struggle to find the energy and inspiration to fuel a run.

Combine that with the fact that the Jazz are simply that much less talented — they have to play very well, at home, to keep the game close, whereas the Lakers have to play very poorly, on the road, to do the same — and it is hard to see how Utah could have very much hope going into this game. The talent gap is large enough that if the Lakers play well at all, and improve on the laundry list of failures listed above, the Jazz will simply have a hard time keeping up.

Let's hope a Game 3 loss in Utah, with another road game about to start, provides LA with the motivation they have been lacking. If it doesn't, then it may finally be time to start worrying about this team's championship hopes.

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Comments

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The Jazz can’t expect Kobe to shoot that bad for the rest of the series, so if he makes his shots, Lakers will win.

by Linix129 on Apr 25, 2009 9:04 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

look for the lakes to just pound the jazz tonight

no mercy no prisoners no nothing.

lakes by a dozen, 5 game series…

by kb24dunks on Apr 25, 2009 9:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure that they beat them down

But we’re all waiting for the response.

I’m worried the people who say “you are what you are” are right, and what we’ve seen from the Lakers is what they are: a team capable of building huge leads and then letting them fritter away. Most times they win, sometimes they lose.

But I’m still hoping that the Lakers are switch flippers, as Josh wrote earlier.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This game will tell us all a lot about the Lakers...

Kobe needs to start driving to the rack. I’d like to see his makes & misses chart from the last game, but I’ll bet he didn’t drive the ball more than about 2 or 3 times out of 24 shots — which is unacceptable.

Pau needs to make his fricking free throws and stop being pushed around on the boards by smaller Jazz players.

Either Trevor or Shannon or Operaman needs to find the range.

It would be nice if Bynum shows up, for once.

The entire team needs to push the pace and stop settling for crappy jumpers. News flash: bad jumpers don’t fall just because the jerseys are purple and the opponent is outmatched. NBA Playoff Basketball is won in the paint. The Lakers have a substantial size advantage over the Jazz and can run with the best of them. They should be pushing the ball and then crushing down low if the break isn’t there.

Boozer and Williams will get their points. That shouldn’t be nearly enough if the Lakers play their game…

Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...

by timbo on Apr 25, 2009 9:38 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Um...the Jazz didn't play very well in Game 3 either

Aside from Boozer (and maybe Harpring), the Jazz didn’t play that well in Game 3. I would go so far as to say it was their worst game of the series, and they still won. Just a little food for thought.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 1:32 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Utah got a playoff career night from Boozer

If any one of the Lakers starters had a career night, the Lakers would have won easily.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They also forgot how to run their offense in the 3rd quarter

If the Jazz had competed for 48 minutes, they would’ve won by double digits, and the Lakers never would’ve caught up. Instead, they settled for jumpers and got complacent on defense throughout the middle of the game.

Oh yeah, and the Jazz’s second leading scorer has yet to play a minute in this series. All I’m saying is that you guys sound pretty confident. I hope your team feels like this will be a walk in the park as well.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not a walk in the park

It’s a series win in 5 or 6 games, just like the majority of people have been saying (a few sprinkles of sweep, but by no means a majority, even among Lakers fans).

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The problem is

that the talent gap between the two teams is smaller than anyone on here would care to admit. A healthy Boozer is a match-up problem for Gasol, and (I know this will go over well) Okur is better than Bynum, especially when you factor in experience. Both benches are deep, but the Laker bench is better. Kobe is great, but his shot selection in game 3 was atrocious. And D-Will is way better than any point guard for the Lakers. I honestly don’t think there will be an “easy win” in any game that is left. Game 1 will be the biggest win by the Lakers in the series.

Don’t get me wrong, I think the Lakers will win this series (probably in 6 or 7), but the teams are closer than anyone is giving them credit for.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I already read that post,

and I wasn’t trying to be snide. I was simply commenting on what I saw as the overall feeling of this thread.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The overall feeling

is that if the Lakers play well, they’ll beat the Jazz. Surely, that’s not that shocking. I mean, even the most hardcore of Laker haters admits that much.

Strength & Honor

by Josh Tucker on Apr 25, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The overall feeling

was that it took a “veritable perfect storm” for the Jazz to win. For them to take the series, I agree. For them to win a couple of games, that’s not true at all. That’s why I made the comments that I did.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What does it matter what the fans think, in terms of respect?

I know the players don’t take the Jazz lightly, that’s what’s important.

What’s “closer than anyone is giving the credit for”? Are the Jazz better than the Nuggets? The Spurs? The Rockets, Blazers, Mavericks? The Cavs?

It’s the NBA. It’s all relative when they say the Lakers are better. The Lakers are much better than the Jazz if there are many teams better than the Jazz.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If the Jazz had stayed healthy all year,

they’re a top-3 seed in the West. Since that didn’t happen, I’m not sure where they fit, except that they’re better than the Hornets. I’m not really sure it matters since the playoffs are all about match ups.

My point was that the Jazz aren’t as outclassed in this series as everyone thinks, much like the post SilverScreenAndRoll linked to above discusses.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the truth is

the Jazz didn’t exactly light it up… but the Lakers simply couldn’t get the engine running. Nearly everything that could conceivably go wrong for LA, went wrong. Nobody on the roster (except LO) had a good game. Despite all that we only lose by 2?

I think we win tonight by double digits.

My name isn't really Iggy.

by IggyQ on Apr 25, 2009 1:46 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Right - It's more about the Jazz Defense/Laker Offense than the Jazz Offense/Laker Defense

Here are the FG% for each game:
                    Jazz Lakers
Game 1 39.1% 55.6%
Game 2 49.4% 60.0%
Game 3 44.0% 36.8%

My takeway: If the Jazz defense can keep the Lakers under 40% FG, they have a shot to win tonight

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

The Jazz defense is the key; however, if their offense clicks like it usually does at home, a 45% night from the Lakers will lead to a Jazz win. The Jazz really struggled offensively for most of game 3.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Jazz shot 49% at home this year

The Lakers shot 47% on the road this year.

Which one was more of an aberration compared to game 3?

If the Lakers shoot 45% tonight and win, I’ll be sure to quote your prediction. And I don’t mind saying I’m wrong, either, I just think that 45% shooting will be just enough to get the job done for the Lakers, considering that I don’t think the Jazz will shoot much over 50% tonight. But hey, that’s why the play the games!

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So, to revisit, with the benefit of hindsight

Jazz shot 44.0% in Game 3 and then 44.2% in Game 4, both Jazz Home games.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 9:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

More hindsight from Game 5

The Lakers shot 45.0% … and won. The Jazz shot 40%.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 28, 2009 12:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh by the way

Tony Parker has 31 points after one half against the Dallas Mavericks. He’s going Kobe on them!

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Has he taken more shots than he has points?

That’s the Kobe I’d love to see tonight. :)

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Parker is 12-17FG

But his team is also only up by 3 at halftime.

Yes, I don’t doubt that you would like to see Kobe go 5-45 tonight, and 1-15 from the free throw line.

I just want Bynum not to pick up lame fouls. I have a few other small wishes, but that’s the main one. I think everything and everyone else will take care of itself/themselves.

by Gils_Keloids on Apr 25, 2009 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I want the Jazz to compete on defense

and stay within the system on offense. That’s when they play the best.

If Okur hits 7 or 8 threes, that would be alright too.

by wingetj on Apr 25, 2009 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i hope tex winter makes a speedy and full recovery.

by chaucer on Apr 25, 2009 9:46 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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