Season Predictions
This cat knows what time it is. You can see it in his eyes.
He's had enough of the preseason. Oh, sure, he's enjoyed the mouthwatering previewage we've dished up here at SS&R like so much sushi-grade tuna. Our positional previews - covering the Lakers' point guards, shooting guards, small forwards, power forwards, centers and coaching staff - very much agreed with his palate. Ryan's review of the long history of Laker repeat attempts made him purr for hours. He rubbed his head affectionately against Chris's look at the top challengers to the Lakers' crown, and even found my piece on statistical trends to watch in the new season useful as a litterbox substitute.
But just look at him now: that cat's got the Game Face on. He's done monkeying around with our asses. He wants real basketball. He knows it's time to get serious.
We agree entirely, so to wrap everything up on Opening Night Eve, we're going on record with our bottom-line predictions for this season. Check ‘em out after the jump, and leave your own predictions in the comments.
Serious Cat will be unamused if you don't.
Josh Tucker
Lakers' Regular Season Record: 69-13
Will the Lakers reach the NBA Finals?: Yep.
Finals Opponent: Boston Celtics
Will the Lakers win the title?: Yes.
C.A. Clark did a great job earlier today of previewing the competition. In looking at each team, he took a look at each team's potential for both great success and failure - pointing out that the return of Garnett and the additions to the bench give Boston the greatest potential for success, while the massive changes to the lineup and the departure of their "offensive coordinator" give the Cavs the greatest potential for failure.
What C.A. did with the four other contenders, I would like to do for the Lakers themselves. My take: the Lakers are the team with BOTH the greatest potential for success and the lowest risk of failure. This is due to three key factors: Ron Artest, Andrew Bynum and the bench.
First, Ron Artest has the potential to be a HUGE upgrade over Trevor Ariza. Better still, his preseason seems to indicate a strong willingness to play the role asked of him. He is a better defender, and even more importantly, his defensive mindset will be contagious. He has also shown the ability to be an excellent playmaker, and if he remains controlled and continues to think first about playing defense and setting up his teammates, the Lakers will be a force to be reckoned with.
Second, Andrew Bynum appears healthy and, in preseason play, has appeared to be far beyond where he was in preseasons past. Maintaining good health for an entire season is a big question mark for him, but if he can stay healthy and build up a rhythm throughout the course of the season, he could turn into a truly dominant post problem for Lakers opponents.
Third, the Lakers bench, as we have seen in the past, has the potential to be one of the best benches in the league. Not long ago, they could have held their own against many of the league's starting units. Last year, that wasn't the case, but there's plenty of reason to think that they can return to their 2008 form, and if they do, the Lakers will be the deepest team in the league.
Here is the key: these three factors represent the Lakers' greatest potential weaknesses, but they also represent the areas for the greatest potential improvement over last year. Even more to the point, the Lakers won the championship in 2009 without the advantage of ANY of these three factors. Thus, even if the Lakers disappoint in all three areas, this is still essentially the same team that won the championship last year. As such, it's clear that they have the lowest potential for significant failure.
On the other hand, should one or two of these factors turn out well for the Lakers, they will be incredibly hard to beat. Should they see success in all three areas, I can't imagine even the strongest of the challenging contenders being able to hang with them.
Add in the championship experience from last year, and the new challenge and renewed hunger that Artest provides, and you have to like the Lakers' chances, even facing so many strong challengers.
C.A. Clark
Lakers' Regular Season Record: 69-13
Will the Lakers reach the NBA Finals?: Yep.
Finals Opponent: Boston Celtics
Will the Lakers win the title?: Yes.
If you just look at my predictions on the surface, it might seem to you that I went pretty blatantly homer. Very high win total for the regular season, and of course I'd say the Lakers will win the title. So my commentary is geared at explaining to you that I'm not sipping on Lakers Kool-Aid. The predicted regular season win total is high, but last year the Lakers won 65 games in spite of themselves. I think Bynum finally gets a full, healthy, season and provides solid contributions. I think the bench plays better (because it would be difficult for them to play much worse than they did from the middle of the season onward). I don't think Artest is a problem, and I think the starters stay on top of their games, all of which means improvement over last season, and last season's win totals.
But the championship? I may have said yes, but that answer is far from a confident one. The realist in me thinks the Lakers won't win it all this year. They have the largest margin for error, but it doesn't make said margin large. If I had to bet my life on the Lakers, or the field, to win the title, I'd take the field. Too many great teams, too many teams that, on their best day, can beat the Lakers, unless the Lakers also have their best day. And yet, I still said the Lakers will win the title, because of matchups. The Lakers have so much versatility, so many combinations that can be used to combat what the other team is good at, regardless of what it is that the other team is good at. And they have a coach who knows how to use those combinations at the perfect time. In the end, I can't look at any one team and say they have favorable matchups against the Lakers. If I think the Lakers are the favorites in any series they play, no matter how mild of a favorite they are, I have to pick them to win a second straight championship. Just know that I won't be surprised if it doesn't happen.
Lakers' Regular Season Record: 65-17
Will the Lakers reach the NBA Finals?: Yep.
Finals Opponent: Orlando Magic
Will the Lakers win the title?: No.
Look man, I'm no happier about this prediction than you are. I'd love to sit here and confidently predict a second straight title, but after weeks spent churning spreadsheets and reading chicken entrails, I just can't get there. The Lakers could be truly killer this year, even better than in 2008-09, for all the reasons Josh and Chris get into above. I'm totally behind the Artest experiment, I expect a borderline All-Star year from Andrew Bynum, and my man-crush on Pau Gasol is well documented. Not a single complaint do I have with the makeup of this Lakers team.
But even more am I impressed with the offseason that's gone down in Orlando. Vince Carter is still a fantastic player and gives the Magic a legit superstar wing. Jameer Nelson, who tormented the Lakers in the regular season last year but missed almost the entire playoffs, is back and healthy. Underrated additions Brandon Bass, Ryan Anderson and Matt Barnes make Orlando's depth perhaps the best in the league. And Dwight Howard is still getting better.
Last year's NBA Finals weren't an especially close contest: the Lakers put on a show of force that exposed the gap between them and the Magic. With an offseason for the ages, Orlando GM Otis Smith has closed that gap and made his team the new frontrunner. The Lakers will have another excellent season and secure a finals rematch with the Magic, but the ending of this story won't be a happy one.
I'm sorry you had to find out this way.
Lakers' Regular Season Record: 61-21
Will the Lakers reach the NBA Finals?: Yep.
Finals Opponent: Orlando Magic
Will the Lakers win the title?: Yes.
This year's Lakers team isn't going to win as many games as last year's edition. They're working in Ron Artest, are a bit older (although still young) and as a result will lessen the minutes of some players. Frankly, the regular season doesn't mean as much to the Lakers as it did last year. Just because they may not win as many games does not mean they're not as good as they were last year, though.
This team is better built for the playoffs than they were last year with Ron Artest not only providing great defense, but being an outstanding rebounder. The backcourt should be deeper with Jordan Farmar healthy, Shannon Brown in for the whole year and Sasha Vujacic hopefully rediscovering his jump shot. Flat out, this year's Lakers team has more options on both the offensive and defensive end, which will allow them to prevent mismatches from killing them, as was the case at times in last year's playoffs.
The Lakers will roll into the 2010 NBA Finals where they'll meet their opponent from last year's finals. The Celtics are probably the East's best team, but just like last year, there's little reason to believe they'll stay healthy, and a healthy Jameer Nelson will allow the Magic to top Cleveland, even without Hedo Turkoglu. That leaves yet another Magic vs. Lakers finals with LA victorious in six... so long as they stay healthy, which can never be guaranteed.
Lakers' Regular Season Record: 67-15
Will the Lakers reach the NBA Finals?: Yep.
Finals Opponent: Boston Celtics
Will the Lakers win the title?: Yes.
We all know the Lakers have all the pieces and talent we could ever want them to have, and they're the defending champs so we know they know how to make it work. All that's left really are a few questions. Will Bynum be healthy and/or effective? Yes, I think he will be, and I think (like John Hollinger) that he's gonna be a beast this year. Will Artest be crazy? Yes, but I think in LA he finally has the extracurricular venues to channel his craziness so that he can keep it away from the team and his play; and as a result he'll just be professional and fun. Will Kobe continue to show the leadership he did last year? Yes, and I think he'll actually relish a smaller scoring role this year, now that he's got the "he can't win without Shaq" monkey off his back. So 67 wins and a title is my prediction. Call me a Laker apologist, call me an optimist - I prefer to think of myself as a realist.
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Comments
mbenga on the inactive roster for tomorrows game??
if pau cant go tomorrow. who is going to play back up center for the 10 to 15 minutes bynums on the bench?
I read somewhere that if Pau can’t go then they can still switch him with Mbenga.
We now return to another Lakers dynasty - already in progress. October 2009
i heard odom could be the starter
my guess:
kobe
fish
artest SF
odom PF
bynum C
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
but whose gonna be the backup center
if pau cant go..
if pau cant go odom is obviously going to start the game at power forward
The cat knows it's Business Time.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
u can tell by the cat's expression that hes a stockbroker...
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
i have to give u some props for that gutty prediction dexter...
even if most of us (including me) dont agree with it… :)
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
Dexter
resorting to the reverse jinx. tsk tsk …
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Oct 26, 2009 6:57 PM PDT up reply actions
Save these predictions
I think that anyone who post predictions should disclose what they predicted the year before. SSR can do this going forward. I only wish ESPN, FoxSports, and every other site that has predictions would do this.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
i do top 8 predictions for east / west
and always compare at the end of the season. It’s in a fanpost so it’s archived.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
You have last years' predictions?
I can’t remember when the site went up
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Oct 26, 2009 7:47 PM PDT up reply actions
how can you say the magic will beat the Lakers in the finals?
You don’t know anything about how that team will gel. Is Jameer Nelson gonna be an all-star next year? My fantasy team hopes he will be, but it’s no guarantee. Vince Carter? I guess he is sort of an upgrade over Hedo…but Hedo fit their system like a glove and was a big part of who they were, so it’s impossible to just say “oh okay, they’re better now”. By contrats, it’s much easier to say in regards to the Lakers, “oh okay Artest for Ariza, Lakers are now better”…but it’s obviously not that simple.
I think the Magic are going to be very good, but they don’t match-up THAT well with the Lakers. We showed that we could contain Howard relatively well and that was without Andrew operating at 100%. Also, you predict the Lakers record to hit 65 wins…do you think the Magic will beat that? No way in hell in my opinion. Do you honestly think that the Magic have a better than 50% chance of winning a series without homecourt advantage against the Lakers?
Your depth argument is good, but in the playoffs you’re only as good as your top 6 or 7 guys…which is what Portland showed us last year.
Jameer Nelson? Best weapon the Magic had against us, but again I’ll reserve judgement until we see how Shannon does on him.
Anyways, I dunno if you were just looking for comments with that prediction but it’s a BIT of a reach imo :D
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
geez i wrote a book.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
u should sell it
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
also interesting that no one predicted the cavs would be in the finals...
I’d say its Lakers > Cavs in 6
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
Too many question marks there
I think the loss of Kuester is a huge blow, especially considering how many new players they have to incorporate into their offense, and how much Shaq changes the way a team plays offense. Until Cleveland shows me that one of their coaches knows what he’s doing on the offensive side of the court, I will not be convinced they can compete with the Celtics or Magic. They’ll win a ton of games in the regular season, but I like either Orlando or Boston against Cleveland in a 7 game series.
Ahh, predictions are fun...
I think the Lakers are the only contender (except maybe the Magic) without questions. Garnetts and Manu’s health, along with Garnetts age. Pierce, Allen Shaq, and Duncan are getting pretty old too. I think the Magic will make the Finals against the Lakers (which sucks cause the Celtics fans will go back to the "If we had ___________ "excuse when someone gets injured). I’d love to see Brown guarding Nelson, and a healthy Bynum playing like we know he can.
"I don't want to be the next Michael Jordan. I only want to be Kobe Bryant,"
-Kobe Bryant
C.A. makes a fantastic and undervalued point here
There are MANY question marks facing the Cavs, and several of them have to do with Shaq. But the issue of Kuester is one I hadn’t even considered before C.A. raised it, and now that he has, I realize that it is a fantastic one.
Mike Brown is TERRIBLE at offense. The Cavs’ significant offensive improvement last year was ALL Kuester. Now Kuester is gone.
Meanwhile, the mere presence of Shaq on the roster REQUIRES that everything change. Role player or star, it doesn’t matter. EVERYTHING changes. It becomes a complicated issue, and addressing it requires a truly gifted offensive mind. And now we’re full circle, back to: Mike Brown SUCKS at offense.
At a time when, more than ever, they really need a clever offensive coordinator, they have in fact lost that guy.
Add in all the other question marks, and you see why we’re not picking the Cavs to come out of the East.
Strength & Honor
It's good to be the Champs.
offense is a question mark, but if any team can get away with no offense...
…it’s the cavs. Remember, “Lebron go do something” has gotten them to the finals before with a much weaker team.
I expect the Cavs to be hungry this year. Shaq is motivated to surpass Kobe again. I’m sure he told Lebron: “hey, I’m coming to Cleveland this year. Let’s get a title and get the hell out next year.”. Guys like Mo Williams who just kind of enjoyed the joy ride until they hit a wall now know the pain of losing when you’re expected to win. Us Laker fans should know first-hand what disappointment can do to a team. Howard’s disappointment losing in the finals? That was baby stuff compared to how Kobe, Pau, and even Lamar felt last year.
Lebron is getting hungrier and could easily play even better than he did last year. In addition, even Kobe Bryant himself has pointed out the value in the Cav’s offseason acquirements like Parker (or maybe not, can’t remember names right now).
Then again? Maybe Shaq clogs the lane, Lebron can’t get any easy baskets, and the Cavs sink even lower on the offensive end and get bounced by the Celtics or Magic in the second round.
Anyways, I feel the same way this year that I did last year. The Lakers will win the NBA championship barring something ridiculous happening not in their favor.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
It was also a much weaker conference
THREE teams under .500 made it into the playoffs. By contrast, NO teams under .500 made it into the playoffs in the West.
In the West, two teams won 60+ games, and a total of FIVE teams won 50+ games. In the East, only two teams won 50+ games, and NO team won more than 53 games.
This explains a lot, both regarding the Cavs’ appearance in the Finals, and regarding their regular season record. The fact that they came out on top in the East, and yet couldn’t win even ONE game reinforces this point, and makes it clear that going to the Finals in the East, in 2007, didn’t mean they would have even come close in the West.
For further context, the Lakers lost to the Suns in the 2007 playoffs. But consider that many considered the Suns a better team than the Spurs that year, and they did, in fact, win 2 games against the Spurs — one of which they won in San Antonio. And that, despite losing Amare and Diaw for a game, which many still think altered the course (and final result) of that series.
Considering how good that Suns team was, I think most people would agree that, had they represented the West in the Finals, they too would have beaten the Cavs. Maybe not in a sweep, but they would have won, nonetheless. And that’s the point — reverse that, and you have to admit that if the Cavs had faced the Suns in the first round, like the Lakers did, they wouldn’t even have made it to the second round, let alone the Finals.
It’s all about context.
Strength & Honor
It's good to be the Champs.
Dex is way above looking for comments
Picking Orlando to win it all is not much further of a reach than picking anybody to win it, even the Lakers. They were one of the four elite teams last year, they made the Finals while missing a significant piece, and they upgraded their roster while addressing a major need (a 2nd rebounder) with Bass and Ryan Anderson.
Your points on depth are spot on, and that’s why I don’t think Orlando can beat LA or Boston (if Boston stays healthy), but this is a team that destroyed the Cavs while missing their All-Star PG, even though the Cavs had homecourt and weren’t missing anybody. Orlando should not be taken lightly.
Fair point, I did discount them a little too much
The only way I’d even give thought to picking any team over the Lakers in the finals is if they have HCA, and honestly I don’t see the Magic topping 65 wins.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
Agreed
Underestimating the Magic this year is like underestimating them last year. Except worse, because now we should know better.
Strength & Honor
It's good to be the Champs.
I really don't see anyone coming out of the East except the Celts.
And honestly, I want them out of the East. We owe them an epic ass-whopping+2 years of interest, and we don’t want to stay in debt now do we?
Boston has a proven championship-caliber team. Cleveland is just full of hot air and question marks. Orlando didn’t really get better, and even if they did, I doubt they can get over the Celts.
The Lakers’ main 2 obstacles are SA and Boston. The rest are irrelevant.
Predictions
Lakers wins the West with 63-19 record
Boston wins the East
Lakers trump Boston in 6
Other predictions during the regular season:
Bynum will miss at least 15 regular season games.
Kobe will not have a game where he will score more than 50 points.
Number of Ron Artest tweets that get fanposted on SS&R: 50 ; )
I'm not in denial, I'm just selective about the reality I choose to accept.
I have a hunch that this is the Cavs' year...
Let’s go, Blazers!
"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal
It would be interesting to see them meet in the playoffs.
Personally, meeting the Blazers in the playoffs would be a bigger challenge because just like the Celtics the Blazers match very well with the Lakers at almost every posititon.
"When I walked into the locker room on my first day as a Laker and saw my gold uniform hanging there, I cried." - Magic Johnson (Best Laker Ever)
by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Oct 26, 2009 9:30 PM PDT up reply actions
On the bright side, for Laker fans, Blazers just lost their starting 3, Nic Batum, for 3-5 months to shoulder surgery (torn labrum)...
"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal
sucks
didn’t know he was the starter though. It’s never cool when someone is injured.
"When I walked into the locker room on my first day as a Laker and saw my gold uniform hanging there, I cried." - Magic Johnson (Best Laker Ever)
by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Oct 27, 2009 6:28 AM PDT up reply actions
What has really changed about the Magic?
Their most significant moves are the addition of Bass, Keeping Gortat, and switching Turkoglu for Carter and losing Lee. Does that make them more dangerous? Not at all. They are given too much credit as a defensive team because of Howard. In reality, the best defense team in the NBA is really the Celtics. Kobe really toyed with this team and did whatever he wanted. With Bass in the lineup they might be a better rebounding team but still not match for the length of the Lakers. The only true question is how much better Carter makes them. No one knows for sure. But if I was asked that if last year if the Magic had Carter instead of Torkuglo if the Magic would have won the title, I doubt the answer would be yes. Carter makes them more athletic but doesn’t put them over the top.
"When I walked into the locker room on my first day as a Laker and saw my gold uniform hanging there, I cried." - Magic Johnson (Best Laker Ever)
by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Oct 26, 2009 9:27 PM PDT reply actions
(First post in a long time) Agreed.
I do not think adding Vince Carter makes them stronger than when they had Hedo, honestly. Sure, he is still a threat, but he is not as big of a threat as Turkoglu.
Proud member of the "Don't Trade Marleau" club.
Fear the Fin: Where Sharks Fans Aren't Like Other Sharks Fans.
by SharksFanEst.1994 on Oct 26, 2009 10:37 PM PDT up reply actions
Let the East beat eachother up again this year
We will cruise in the West while Cleveland, Boston, and the Magic destroy each other all year long and in the playoffs.
70+ wins here we come.
Lamar = Laker for Life...Go Pads...Go Bolts
by mrbarneydangles on Oct 26, 2009 10:43 PM PDT reply actions
Lakers repeat as champions
73 reg season wins. and go undefeated in the playoffs ron ron is a beast
YOU CAN PUT IT ON THE BOARD YES!
www.reverbnation.com/czheckproductions
breaking news:
Blake Griffin’s NBA debut has been pushed back indefinitely after the Los Angeles Clippers revealed late Monday night that their No. 1 overall draft pick has a broken left kneecap.
That sucks…
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
Sucks big time............
Here’s a link in case anyone wants one.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=4597949
Billy Mac: "Lamar, can you see yourself actually getting in the (boxing) ring"?
Lamar Odom: "No. My face is too pretty."
i was looking forward to seeing em square off with the lakers for real this time
but yeah this blows
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
Griffin is a great player
Saw him live at the Maccabi tel aviv-Clipper game. He is already a force in the NBA and I hope he comes back soon.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.
i think he hurt it after a dunk
like they showed the replay and he fell awkwardly on his knee…
hopefully he gets back soon
When I look at Boris Diaw, I think of Beethoven and the age of the romantics... -The Great Bill Walton
ouch
antonio mcdyess fractured his kneecap back in 2002, and he was never the same. Hopefully, Griffin will be able to recover 100%, because he showed a lot of promise in his limited time playing NBA (preseason) basketball.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Oct 27, 2009 1:01 AM PDT up reply actions
daaaam!
that sucks.
"When I walked into the locker room on my first day as a Laker and saw my gold uniform hanging there, I cried." - Magic Johnson (Best Laker Ever)
by PURPLE AND GOLD FOR LIFE on Oct 27, 2009 6:26 AM PDT up reply actions

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